Shenzhen's highest temperature today is locked in at 26°C by overwhelming trader consensus, reflecting the latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration that show stable subtropical high pressure and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime peaks. Recent model runs indicate persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass have held readings below the city's May climatological average of 28–30°C. Resolution hinges on verified hourly observations from central Shenzhen stations, where sustained readings above 26.5°C would be required to alter outcomes. Updated global ensemble guidance shows negligible warming risk through evening hours, though brief urban heat-island spikes remain the main variable that could still shift final recorded values.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 16?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,182 Vol.
$66,182 Vol.
16 mai 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$66,182 Vol.
$66,182 Vol.
16 mai 2026
20°C or below
$816 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,111 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,139 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,738 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,609 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,344 Vol.
No
26°C
$17,356 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$9,309 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,605 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,536 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$8,618 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Shenzhen's highest temperature today is locked in at 26°C by overwhelming trader consensus, reflecting the latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration that show stable subtropical high pressure and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime peaks. Recent model runs indicate persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass have held readings below the city's May climatological average of 28–30°C. Resolution hinges on verified hourly observations from central Shenzhen stations, where sustained readings above 26.5°C would be required to alter outcomes. Updated global ensemble guidance shows negligible warming risk through evening hours, though brief urban heat-island spikes remain the main variable that could still shift final recorded values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$66,182Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Shenzhen's highest temperature today is locked in at 26°C by overwhelming trader consensus, reflecting the latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration that show stable subtropical high pressure and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime peaks. Recent model runs indicate persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass have held readings below the city's May climatological average of 28–30°C. Resolution hinges on verified hourly observations from central Shenzhen stations, where sustained readings above 26.5°C would be required to alter outcomes. Updated global ensemble guidance shows negligible warming risk through evening hours, though brief urban heat-island spikes remain the main variable that could still shift final recorded values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$66,182Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
Shenzhen's highest temperature today is locked in at 26°C by overwhelming trader consensus, reflecting the latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration that show stable subtropical high pressure and moderate onshore flow limiting daytime peaks. Recent model runs indicate persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass have held readings below the city's May climatological average of 28–30°C. Resolution hinges on verified hourly observations from central Shenzhen stations, where sustained readings above 26.5°C would be required to alter outcomes. Updated global ensemble guidance shows negligible warming risk through evening hours, though brief urban heat-island spikes remain the main variable that could still shift final recorded values.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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