Skip to main content
icon for Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ?
Politique·Moyen-Orient

Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ?

icon for Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ?
Politique·Moyen-Orient

Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ?

$566,728 Vol.

1 juil. 2026
Polymarket

$566,728 Vol.

Polymarket

30 juin

$459,604 Vol.

1%

July 31

$64,458 Vol.

10%

December 31

$41,783 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces remain positioned north of the Litani River in southern Lebanon following ground advances confirmed by Prime Minister Netanyahu in late May 2026, expanding a buffer zone established earlier in the 2026 Lebanon war. Ceasefire extensions and U.S.-brokered talks in June produced agreements on “pilot zones” for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah withdrawal north of the river, yet Israeli officials have stated troops will stay in security areas without a fixed timeline until threats are eliminated. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations have linked any broader deal to Israeli withdrawal, a condition rejected by Israel, while sporadic strikes continue amid partial returns of displaced civilians. UNIFIL’s mandate ends in December 2026, adding pressure on implementation of Resolution 1701. These factors shape trader views on whether diplomatic or military timelines will produce a verified pullback by the market’s resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$566,728
Marché ouvert
Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces remain positioned north of the Litani River in southern Lebanon following ground advances confirmed by Prime Minister Netanyahu in late May 2026, expanding a buffer zone established earlier in the 2026 Lebanon war. Ceasefire extensions and U.S.-brokered talks in June produced agreements on “pilot zones” for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah withdrawal north of the river, yet Israeli officials have stated troops will stay in security areas without a fixed timeline until threats are eliminated. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations have linked any broader deal to Israeli withdrawal, a condition rejected by Israel, while sporadic strikes continue amid partial returns of displaced civilians. UNIFIL’s mandate ends in December 2026, adding pressure on implementation of Resolution 1701. These factors shape trader views on whether diplomatic or military timelines will produce a verified pullback by the market’s resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$566,728
Marché ouvert
Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « December 31 » à 49%, suivi de « July 31 » à 10%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 49¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ? » a généré $566.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 7, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ? » est « December 31 » à 49%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « July 31 » à 10%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Les forces israéliennes se retirent de l'autre côté du Litani d'ici… ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.