Adam Hamilton's entry into the race on April 30 has quickly established him as the dominant contender for the Democratic nomination in Kansas's August 4 primary. The Leawood megachurch pastor's high public profile, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in his first week, and decision to run as a Democrat rather than independent have drawn strong trader support, reflected in his current 86.5% implied probability. A crowded field including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, former USDA official Christy Davis, and several others lacks comparable name recognition or early momentum. No primary polls have yet emerged to challenge this positioning, though the general election against Republican incumbent Roger Marshall remains distant. Traders appear to view Hamilton's resources and visibility as decisive factors in the short primary window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAdam Hamilton 87%
Patrick Schmidt 3.9%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.8%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$129,683 Vol.
$129,683 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Christy Davis
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Adam Hamilton 87%
Patrick Schmidt 3.9%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.8%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$129,683 Vol.
$129,683 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Christy Davis
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton's entry into the race on April 30 has quickly established him as the dominant contender for the Democratic nomination in Kansas's August 4 primary. The Leawood megachurch pastor's high public profile, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in his first week, and decision to run as a Democrat rather than independent have drawn strong trader support, reflected in his current 86.5% implied probability. A crowded field including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt, former USDA official Christy Davis, and several others lacks comparable name recognition or early momentum. No primary polls have yet emerged to challenge this positioning, though the general election against Republican incumbent Roger Marshall remains distant. Traders appear to view Hamilton's resources and visibility as decisive factors in the short primary window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes