Recent opinion polls position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner to secure the largest vote share in Latvia’s October 3 Saeima election, driving trader consensus toward its 55% implied probability. July surveys from SKDS show AS at 19%, ahead of Suverēnā Vara (SV) at 17% and Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) at 15%, with Progresīvie (PRO) close behind; earlier LPV leads have narrowed amid stable AS support and SV gains among Euroskeptic voters. The proportional system with a 5% threshold favors parties demonstrating broad regional strength, while coalition dynamics and final campaign momentum in the coming weeks remain key variables that could shift narrower margins among trailing options like Jaunā Vienotība (JV) or Nacionālā Apvienība (NA).
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection parlementaire lettone
Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire lettone
AS 54.6%
LPV 20%
SV 17.1%
PRO 6.4%
$182,658 Vol.
$182,658 Vol.
3 oct. 2026
AS
55%
LPV
20%
SV
17%
PRO
6%
JV
3%
NA
2%
ZZS
<1%
ST!
<1%
S
<1%
AS 54.6%
LPV 20%
SV 17.1%
PRO 6.4%
$182,658 Vol.
$182,658 Vol.
3 oct. 2026
AS
$31,137 Vol.
55%
LPV
$21,910 Vol.
20%
SV
$21,071 Vol.
17%
PRO
$28,714 Vol.
6%
JV
$12,040 Vol.
3%
NA
$7,663 Vol.
2%
ZZS
$52,839 Vol.
<1%
ST!
$3,123 Vol.
<1%
S
$4,161 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent opinion polls position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner to secure the largest vote share in Latvia’s October 3 Saeima election, driving trader consensus toward its 55% implied probability. July surveys from SKDS show AS at 19%, ahead of Suverēnā Vara (SV) at 17% and Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) at 15%, with Progresīvie (PRO) close behind; earlier LPV leads have narrowed amid stable AS support and SV gains among Euroskeptic voters. The proportional system with a 5% threshold favors parties demonstrating broad regional strength, while coalition dynamics and final campaign momentum in the coming weeks remain key variables that could shift narrower margins among trailing options like Jaunā Vienotība (JV) or Nacionālā Apvienība (NA).
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
Volume
$182,658Date de fin
3 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent opinion polls position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner to secure the largest vote share in Latvia’s October 3 Saeima election, driving trader consensus toward its 55% implied probability. July surveys from SKDS show AS at 19%, ahead of Suverēnā Vara (SV) at 17% and Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) at 15%, with Progresīvie (PRO) close behind; earlier LPV leads have narrowed amid stable AS support and SV gains among Euroskeptic voters. The proportional system with a 5% threshold favors parties demonstrating broad regional strength, while coalition dynamics and final campaign momentum in the coming weeks remain key variables that could shift narrower margins among trailing options like Jaunā Vienotība (JV) or Nacionālā Apvienība (NA).
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Volume
$182,658Date de fin
3 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner to secure the largest vote share in Latvia’s October 3 Saeima election, driving trader consensus toward its 55% implied probability. July surveys from SKDS show AS at 19%, ahead of Suverēnā Vara (SV) at 17% and Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) at 15%, with Progresīvie (PRO) close behind; earlier LPV leads have narrowed amid stable AS support and SV gains among Euroskeptic voters. The proportional system with a 5% threshold favors parties demonstrating broad regional strength, while coalition dynamics and final campaign momentum in the coming weeks remain key variables that could shift narrower margins among trailing options like Jaunā Vienotība (JV) or Nacionālā Apvienība (NA).
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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