**Forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid a persistent heatwave drives the closely matched market odds for Chongqing's September 8 low temperature.** Recent model runs and observational data show daytime highs near 37–38°C under mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover and light winds expected to moderate nocturnal temperature drops; this setup typically yields minimums of 27–29°C, aligning with the clustered probabilities around those exact values. Humidity levels near 45–60% and the urban heat island effect further influence the rate of cooling after sunset, while any unexpected increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud decks could suppress the low by several degrees. Historical September baselines for the city average lows near 22°C, but current conditions reflect anomalous late-summer warmth. Updated short-range model guidance and local meteorological briefings over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the exact threshold probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chongqing le 8 septembre ?
30°C 48%
31°C 48%
23°C ou moins 41.3%
33°C ou plus 40.6%
23°C ou moins
41%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
29%
29°C
26%
30°C
48%
31°C
48%
32°C
1%
33°C ou plus
41%
30°C 48%
31°C 48%
23°C ou moins 41.3%
33°C ou plus 40.6%
23°C ou moins
41%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
29%
29°C
26%
30°C
48%
31°C
48%
32°C
1%
33°C ou plus
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid a persistent heatwave drives the closely matched market odds for Chongqing's September 8 low temperature.** Recent model runs and observational data show daytime highs near 37–38°C under mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover and light winds expected to moderate nocturnal temperature drops; this setup typically yields minimums of 27–29°C, aligning with the clustered probabilities around those exact values. Humidity levels near 45–60% and the urban heat island effect further influence the rate of cooling after sunset, while any unexpected increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud decks could suppress the low by several degrees. Historical September baselines for the city average lows near 22°C, but current conditions reflect anomalous late-summer warmth. Updated short-range model guidance and local meteorological briefings over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the exact threshold probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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