Recent numerical weather model consensus, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicates overnight lows near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 16 amid subtropical humidity, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 24.2°C for the date while current conditions show no strong cold advection or clear-sky enhancement of temperature drops. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of a minimum around 25°C against modest uncertainty from scattered showers or slight model spread that could nudge readings 1–2°C either way, elevating implied odds for that threshold over warmer or cooler bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 16 septembre ?
30°C ou plus 59%
20°C ou moins 50%
25°C 45%
26°C 42%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
50%
21°C
3%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
45%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
38%
29°C
39%
30°C ou plus
59%
30°C ou plus 59%
20°C ou moins 50%
25°C 45%
26°C 42%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
50%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$203 Vol.
22%
23°C
$4 Vol.
22%
24°C
$4 Vol.
22%
25°C
$27 Vol.
45%
26°C
$11 Vol.
26%
27°C
$18 Vol.
23%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicates overnight lows near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 16 amid subtropical humidity, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 24.2°C for the date while current conditions show no strong cold advection or clear-sky enhancement of temperature drops. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of a minimum around 25°C against modest uncertainty from scattered showers or slight model spread that could nudge readings 1–2°C either way, elevating implied odds for that threshold over warmer or cooler bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$268Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicates overnight lows near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 16 amid subtropical humidity, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 24.2°C for the date while current conditions show no strong cold advection or clear-sky enhancement of temperature drops. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of a minimum around 25°C against modest uncertainty from scattered showers or slight model spread that could nudge readings 1–2°C either way, elevating implied odds for that threshold over warmer or cooler bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$268Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus, including runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicates overnight lows near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 16 amid subtropical humidity, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 24.2°C for the date while current conditions show no strong cold advection or clear-sky enhancement of temperature drops. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of a minimum around 25°C against modest uncertainty from scattered showers or slight model spread that could nudge readings 1–2°C either way, elevating implied odds for that threshold over warmer or cooler bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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