Forecast uncertainty for Guangzhou's September 3 minimum temperature remains elevated, with trader odds split between extremes near 34.5% each, reflecting divergent model runs on steering patterns and moisture influx. Subtropical monsoon influences, possible South China Sea tropical cyclone remnants, and variable cloud cover can suppress daytime heating or enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, shifting minima by several degrees. Historical September averages hover near 25°C, but short-range ensemble spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight sensitivity to frontal passages or urban heat retention. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 3 septembre ?
19°C ou moins 69%
29°C ou plus 69%
24°C 26%
25°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
69%
20°C
11%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
2%
29°C ou plus
69%
19°C ou moins 69%
29°C ou plus 69%
24°C 26%
25°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
69%
20°C
$0 Vol.
11%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Guangzhou's September 3 minimum temperature remains elevated, with trader odds split between extremes near 34.5% each, reflecting divergent model runs on steering patterns and moisture influx. Subtropical monsoon influences, possible South China Sea tropical cyclone remnants, and variable cloud cover can suppress daytime heating or enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, shifting minima by several degrees. Historical September averages hover near 25°C, but short-range ensemble spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight sensitivity to frontal passages or urban heat retention. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$15Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Guangzhou's September 3 minimum temperature remains elevated, with trader odds split between extremes near 34.5% each, reflecting divergent model runs on steering patterns and moisture influx. Subtropical monsoon influences, possible South China Sea tropical cyclone remnants, and variable cloud cover can suppress daytime heating or enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, shifting minima by several degrees. Historical September averages hover near 25°C, but short-range ensemble spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight sensitivity to frontal passages or urban heat retention. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Guangzhou's September 3 minimum temperature remains elevated, with trader odds split between extremes near 34.5% each, reflecting divergent model runs on steering patterns and moisture influx. Subtropical monsoon influences, possible South China Sea tropical cyclone remnants, and variable cloud cover can suppress daytime heating or enhance nocturnal radiative cooling, shifting minima by several degrees. Historical September averages hover near 25°C, but short-range ensemble spreads from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight sensitivity to frontal passages or urban heat retention. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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