The market's overwhelming consensus on a 23°C low for Hong Kong on May 16 stems from verified minimum-temperature observations issued by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact value overnight under a stable subtropical ridge and light winds that limited radiational cooling. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for mid-May, when average overnight lows typically fall between 22 °C and 24 °C. Forecasters note that any late data revisions or station-specific adjustments remain possible but carry low probability given the consistency across multiple official monitoring sites.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 16 mai ?
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,336 Vol.
$38,336 Vol.
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,336 Vol.
$38,336 Vol.
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The market's overwhelming consensus on a 23°C low for Hong Kong on May 16 stems from verified minimum-temperature observations issued by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact value overnight under a stable subtropical ridge and light winds that limited radiational cooling. These conditions aligned closely with climatological norms for mid-May, when average overnight lows typically fall between 22 °C and 24 °C. Forecasters note that any late data revisions or station-specific adjustments remain possible but carry low probability given the consistency across multiple official monitoring sites.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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