Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 30 under mainly clear skies and strong surface winds, yet market-implied odds remain closely split because monsoon-driven cloud cover and humidity can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. High dew points near 26–27°C and scattered thunderstorm activity limit temperature drops, while any break in cloudiness or enhanced wind mixing could push the low above 30°C. Recent observations show night temperatures 1–2°C above normal across Uttar Pradesh amid active monsoon conditions. Traders weigh these factors against model consensus on steering patterns and the narrow 24-hour window before resolution, where updated IMD guidance or fresh satellite data on convective activity may shift positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Lucknow le 30 août ?
31°C or higher 59%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
29°C 49%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
30%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
59%
31°C or higher 59%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
29°C 49%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
30%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a minimum temperature near 28°C on August 30 under mainly clear skies and strong surface winds, yet market-implied odds remain closely split because monsoon-driven cloud cover and humidity can suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. High dew points near 26–27°C and scattered thunderstorm activity limit temperature drops, while any break in cloudiness or enhanced wind mixing could push the low above 30°C. Recent observations show night temperatures 1–2°C above normal across Uttar Pradesh amid active monsoon conditions. Traders weigh these factors against model consensus on steering patterns and the narrow 24-hour window before resolution, where updated IMD guidance or fresh satellite data on convective activity may shift positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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