The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F ou moins <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,221 Vol.
$26,221 Vol.
67°F ou moins
Non
68-69°F
Non
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Oui
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79 °F
Non
80-81 °F
Non
82-83°F
Non
84-85°F
No
86°F ou plus
Non
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F ou moins <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,221 Vol.
$26,221 Vol.
67°F ou moins
Non
68-69°F
Non
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Oui
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79 °F
Non
80-81 °F
Non
82-83°F
Non
84-85°F
No
86°F ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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