Recent forecasts from multiple models project minimum temperatures in Qingdao around 21–22°C on September 3, consistent with late-summer patterns under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, well above the September climatological average low near 18°C. This positions 21–23°C outcomes as scientifically favored, though the market's elevated implied probability on 14°C or below (48.5%) reflects trader emphasis on potential model divergence, coastal marine influences, or measurement variability at official stations. No significant weather systems or rapid cooling trends have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the consensus, with stable high pressure expected to hold through the period. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Qingdao le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Qingdao le 3 septembre ?
14°C ou moins 99%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
99%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
25%
20°C
2%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C ou plus
47%
14°C ou moins 99%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
99%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$4 Vol.
2%
21°C
$5 Vol.
49%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project minimum temperatures in Qingdao around 21–22°C on September 3, consistent with late-summer patterns under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, well above the September climatological average low near 18°C. This positions 21–23°C outcomes as scientifically favored, though the market's elevated implied probability on 14°C or below (48.5%) reflects trader emphasis on potential model divergence, coastal marine influences, or measurement variability at official stations. No significant weather systems or rapid cooling trends have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the consensus, with stable high pressure expected to hold through the period. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$29Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project minimum temperatures in Qingdao around 21–22°C on September 3, consistent with late-summer patterns under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, well above the September climatological average low near 18°C. This positions 21–23°C outcomes as scientifically favored, though the market's elevated implied probability on 14°C or below (48.5%) reflects trader emphasis on potential model divergence, coastal marine influences, or measurement variability at official stations. No significant weather systems or rapid cooling trends have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the consensus, with stable high pressure expected to hold through the period. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models project minimum temperatures in Qingdao around 21–22°C on September 3, consistent with late-summer patterns under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, well above the September climatological average low near 18°C. This positions 21–23°C outcomes as scientifically favored, though the market's elevated implied probability on 14°C or below (48.5%) reflects trader emphasis on potential model divergence, coastal marine influences, or measurement variability at official stations. No significant weather systems or rapid cooling trends have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift the consensus, with stable high pressure expected to hold through the period. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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