Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 25, driven by a persistent marine layer, west-to-southwest onshore flow, and typical late-summer Pacific cooling that limits radiative warming after sunset. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread around 57–58 °F, consistent with the climatological average low of 56 °F and recent days’ observed minima. The closely matched leading outcomes at 58–59 °F and 56–57 °F reflect trader weighting of this stable pattern against small uncertainties in cloud cover and wind strength that could shift the minimum by a degree or two. Historical records indicate temperatures of 50 °F or below remain rare in late August.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à San Francisco le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à San Francisco le 25 août ?
49°F ou moins 56%
56-57°F 42%
58-59 °F 42%
60-61°F 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
49°F ou moins
56%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
42%
58-59 °F
42%
60-61°F
24%
62-63 °F
12%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
2%
68°F ou plus
24%
49°F ou moins 56%
56-57°F 42%
58-59 °F 42%
60-61°F 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
49°F ou moins
$5 Vol.
56%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
19%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
21%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
20%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
42%
58-59 °F
$0 Vol.
42%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
24%
62-63 °F
$0 Vol.
12%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
12%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
2%
68°F ou plus
$5 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 25, driven by a persistent marine layer, west-to-southwest onshore flow, and typical late-summer Pacific cooling that limits radiative warming after sunset. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread around 57–58 °F, consistent with the climatological average low of 56 °F and recent days’ observed minima. The closely matched leading outcomes at 58–59 °F and 56–57 °F reflect trader weighting of this stable pattern against small uncertainties in cloud cover and wind strength that could shift the minimum by a degree or two. Historical records indicate temperatures of 50 °F or below remain rare in late August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$20Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 25, driven by a persistent marine layer, west-to-southwest onshore flow, and typical late-summer Pacific cooling that limits radiative warming after sunset. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread around 57–58 °F, consistent with the climatological average low of 56 °F and recent days’ observed minima. The closely matched leading outcomes at 58–59 °F and 56–57 °F reflect trader weighting of this stable pattern against small uncertainties in cloud cover and wind strength that could shift the minimum by a degree or two. Historical records indicate temperatures of 50 °F or below remain rare in late August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 25, driven by a persistent marine layer, west-to-southwest onshore flow, and typical late-summer Pacific cooling that limits radiative warming after sunset. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread around 57–58 °F, consistent with the climatological average low of 56 °F and recent days’ observed minima. The closely matched leading outcomes at 58–59 °F and 56–57 °F reflect trader weighting of this stable pattern against small uncertainties in cloud cover and wind strength that could shift the minimum by a degree or two. Historical records indicate temperatures of 50 °F or below remain rare in late August.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 58 et 59°F le 24 août ?
38%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 58 et 59 °F le 23 août ?
89%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 72 et 73 °F le 25 août ?
32%
Oui
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