The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued May 14, projects Tokyo's minimum temperature at Haneda Airport station on May 15 precisely at 14°C—aligning with the mid-May climatological normal of 14.7°C and driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge promotes clear skies overnight, fostering radiative cooling toward the dew point under light winds and under 10% precipitation odds, with ensemble model runs from JMA and international sources converging tightly on this value; current early-morning observations further bolster the projection. Realistic challenges include lingering clouds trapping heat to elevate the low to 15°C or more, or excessive clearing yielding a dip to 13°C—both low-probability deviations given the tight forecast uncertainty range. Final JMA data release later today will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 15 mai ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 15 mai ?
14°C 100.0%
12°C ou moins <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$20,680 Vol.
$20,680 Vol.
15 mai 2026
12°C ou moins
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Oui
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C ou plus
Non
14°C 100.0%
12°C ou moins <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$20,680 Vol.
$20,680 Vol.
15 mai 2026
12°C ou moins
$3,046 Vol.
Non
13°C
$6,891 Vol.
Non
14°C
$2,555 Vol.
Oui
15°C
$1,069 Vol.
Non
16°C
$1,062 Vol.
Non
17°C
$1,387 Vol.
Non
18°C
$1,629 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,235 Vol.
Non
20°C
$565 Vol.
Non
21°C
$874 Vol.
Non
22°C ou plus
$366 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued May 14, projects Tokyo's minimum temperature at Haneda Airport station on May 15 precisely at 14°C—aligning with the mid-May climatological normal of 14.7°C and driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge promotes clear skies overnight, fostering radiative cooling toward the dew point under light winds and under 10% precipitation odds, with ensemble model runs from JMA and international sources converging tightly on this value; current early-morning observations further bolster the projection. Realistic challenges include lingering clouds trapping heat to elevate the low to 15°C or more, or excessive clearing yielding a dip to 13°C—both low-probability deviations given the tight forecast uncertainty range. Final JMA data release later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Volume
$20,680Date de fin
15 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued May 14, projects Tokyo's minimum temperature at Haneda Airport station on May 15 precisely at 14°C—aligning with the mid-May climatological normal of 14.7°C and driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge promotes clear skies overnight, fostering radiative cooling toward the dew point under light winds and under 10% precipitation odds, with ensemble model runs from JMA and international sources converging tightly on this value; current early-morning observations further bolster the projection. Realistic challenges include lingering clouds trapping heat to elevate the low to 15°C or more, or excessive clearing yielding a dip to 13°C—both low-probability deviations given the tight forecast uncertainty range. Final JMA data release later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,680Date de fin
15 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued May 14, projects Tokyo's minimum temperature at Haneda Airport station on May 15 precisely at 14°C—aligning with the mid-May climatological normal of 14.7°C and driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. A stable high-pressure ridge promotes clear skies overnight, fostering radiative cooling toward the dew point under light winds and under 10% precipitation odds, with ensemble model runs from JMA and international sources converging tightly on this value; current early-morning observations further bolster the projection. Realistic challenges include lingering clouds trapping heat to elevate the low to 15°C or more, or excessive clearing yielding a dip to 13°C—both low-probability deviations given the tight forecast uncertainty range. Final JMA data release later today will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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