Traders have converged on 17°C as the lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16 because Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs consistently projected a minimum near that value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and clear skies. Mid-May climatology for the Tokyo region shows typical overnight lows between 14°C and 18°C, and current observational data aligned closely with these expectations, leaving little room for significant deviation. This scientific consensus from official monitoring creates high in the outcome. A sudden shift in steering patterns or an unforecasted marine layer could still alter readings at the official station, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest model agreement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 16 mai ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 16 mai ?
17°C 99.8%
13°C ou moins <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$90,519 Vol.
$90,519 Vol.
16 mai 2026
13°C ou moins
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Oui
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C ou plus
Non
17°C 99.8%
13°C ou moins <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$90,519 Vol.
$90,519 Vol.
16 mai 2026
13°C ou moins
$5,465 Vol.
Non
14°C
$11,240 Vol.
Non
15°C
$9,829 Vol.
Non
16°C
$4,545 Vol.
Non
17°C
$19,152 Vol.
Oui
18°C
$4,117 Vol.
Non
19°C
$13,509 Vol.
Non
20°C
$14,438 Vol.
Non
21°C
$523 Vol.
Non
22°C
$779 Vol.
Non
23°C ou plus
$6,921 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 17°C as the lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16 because Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs consistently projected a minimum near that value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and clear skies. Mid-May climatology for the Tokyo region shows typical overnight lows between 14°C and 18°C, and current observational data aligned closely with these expectations, leaving little room for significant deviation. This scientific consensus from official monitoring creates high in the outcome. A sudden shift in steering patterns or an unforecasted marine layer could still alter readings at the official station, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$90,519Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 17°C as the lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16 because Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs consistently projected a minimum near that value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and clear skies. Mid-May climatology for the Tokyo region shows typical overnight lows between 14°C and 18°C, and current observational data aligned closely with these expectations, leaving little room for significant deviation. This scientific consensus from official monitoring creates high in the outcome. A sudden shift in steering patterns or an unforecasted marine layer could still alter readings at the official station, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$90,519Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTTraders have converged on 17°C as the lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16 because Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs consistently projected a minimum near that value under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and clear skies. Mid-May climatology for the Tokyo region shows typical overnight lows between 14°C and 18°C, and current observational data aligned closely with these expectations, leaving little room for significant deviation. This scientific consensus from official monitoring creates high in the outcome. A sudden shift in steering patterns or an unforecasted marine layer could still alter readings at the official station, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest model agreement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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