Wellington's lowest temperature on August 26 is expected to hinge on overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and persistent northwesterly winds channeling air across Cook Strait. Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 13–14°C with an early-morning minimum likely between 11–12°C, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those levels and modest support for 11°C or 14°C outcomes. Warmer-than-average regional sea surface temperatures and a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern have limited southerly Antarctic outbreaks in recent weeks, reducing the chance of sharper drops below 10°C, while gusty conditions prevent strong inversions that could otherwise drive lower readings. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wellington le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse à Wellington le 26 août ?
9°C 49%
12°C 28%
11°C 27%
14°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
8°C ou moins
1%
9°C
49%
10°C
12%
11°C
27%
12°C
28%
13°C
24%
14°C
26%
15°C
4%
16°C
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C ou plus
<1%
9°C 49%
12°C 28%
11°C 27%
14°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
8°C ou moins
$15 Vol.
1%
9°C
$55 Vol.
49%
10°C
$10 Vol.
12%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$85 Vol.
4%
16°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$15 Vol.
4%
18°C ou plus
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's lowest temperature on August 26 is expected to hinge on overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and persistent northwesterly winds channeling air across Cook Strait. Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 13–14°C with an early-morning minimum likely between 11–12°C, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those levels and modest support for 11°C or 14°C outcomes. Warmer-than-average regional sea surface temperatures and a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern have limited southerly Antarctic outbreaks in recent weeks, reducing the chance of sharper drops below 10°C, while gusty conditions prevent strong inversions that could otherwise drive lower readings. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$336Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's lowest temperature on August 26 is expected to hinge on overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and persistent northwesterly winds channeling air across Cook Strait. Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 13–14°C with an early-morning minimum likely between 11–12°C, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those levels and modest support for 11°C or 14°C outcomes. Warmer-than-average regional sea surface temperatures and a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern have limited southerly Antarctic outbreaks in recent weeks, reducing the chance of sharper drops below 10°C, while gusty conditions prevent strong inversions that could otherwise drive lower readings. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$336Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's lowest temperature on August 26 is expected to hinge on overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and persistent northwesterly winds channeling air across Cook Strait. Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daytime high near 13–14°C with an early-morning minimum likely between 11–12°C, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those levels and modest support for 11°C or 14°C outcomes. Warmer-than-average regional sea surface temperatures and a neutral-to-weak La Niña pattern have limited southerly Antarctic outbreaks in recent weeks, reducing the chance of sharper drops below 10°C, while gusty conditions prevent strong inversions that could otherwise drive lower readings. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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