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Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

icon for Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

$69,809 Vol.

31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$69,809 Vol.

Polymarket

1900

$29,849 Vol.

99%

1925

$5,462 Vol.

96%

1950

$11,844 Vol.

69%

2000

$14,274 Vol.

14%

2200

$2,644 Vol.

2%

2400

$955 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Confirmed measles cases in the United States reached 1,842 as of May 7, 2026, according to CDC surveillance data, with 93% linked to ongoing outbreaks that began in 2025 and 25 new outbreaks reported so far this year. Weekly additions have slowed markedly in recent weeks—from 40 cases in mid-April to just 7 by early May—reflecting reduced transmission in affected communities amid heightened vaccination efforts and public health interventions. Most cases continue to occur in unvaccinated or under-vaccinated individuals, primarily children and adolescents, consistent with epidemiological patterns where measles spreads rapidly in pockets of low immunity. CDC case counts are updated weekly and include only laboratory-confirmed reports; traders should monitor the next data release around May 15 for any acceleration before the May 31 threshold. Historical comparisons show 2025 totals exceeded 2,200, providing context for whether cumulative 2026 figures will stabilize or rise sharply in the final weeks of the month.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Volume
$69,809
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Confirmed measles cases in the United States reached 1,842 as of May 7, 2026, according to CDC surveillance data, with 93% linked to ongoing outbreaks that began in 2025 and 25 new outbreaks reported so far this year. Weekly additions have slowed markedly in recent weeks—from 40 cases in mid-April to just 7 by early May—reflecting reduced transmission in affected communities amid heightened vaccination efforts and public health interventions. Most cases continue to occur in unvaccinated or under-vaccinated individuals, primarily children and adolescents, consistent with epidemiological patterns where measles spreads rapidly in pockets of low immunity. CDC case counts are updated weekly and include only laboratory-confirmed reports; traders should monitor the next data release around May 15 for any acceleration before the May 31 threshold. Historical comparisons show 2025 totals exceeded 2,200, providing context for whether cumulative 2026 figures will stabilize or rise sharply in the final weeks of the month.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Volume
$69,809
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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Questions fréquentes

« Measles cases in U.S. by May 31? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 1800 » à 100%, suivi de « 1900 » à 99%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Measles cases in U.S. by May 31? » a généré $69.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Measles cases in U.S. by May 31? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Measles cases in U.S. by May 31? » est « 1800 » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 1900 » à 99%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Measles cases in U.S. by May 31? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.