Cleitinho Azevedo leads the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race in recent Genial/Quaest and AtlasIntel surveys with 28–37% first-round support, fueled by consolidated conservative and evangelical backing plus low rejection rates that position him ahead in simulated runoffs against rivals. Rodrigo Pacheco trails at single-digit levels following his party switch and coalition uncertainties, limiting center-right consolidation ahead of July conventions. Fragmented support among Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and others reflects voter desire for change without a unified alternative, while high undecided shares and the October 4 first-round date introduce volatility that traders have priced into current probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCleitinho Azevedo 46%
Rodrigo Pacheco 24%
Mateus Simões 7.6%
Alexandre Kalil 7.0%
$24,079 Vol.
$24,079 Vol.

Cleitinho Azevedo
46%

Rodrigo Pacheco
24%

Mateus Simões
8%

Alexandre Kalil
7%

Alexandre Silveira
6%

Aécio Neves
5%

Tadeu Leite
4%

Benoni Mendes
3%

Nikolas Ferreira
3%

Gabriel Azevedo
1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 46%
Rodrigo Pacheco 24%
Mateus Simões 7.6%
Alexandre Kalil 7.0%
$24,079 Vol.
$24,079 Vol.

Cleitinho Azevedo
46%

Rodrigo Pacheco
24%

Mateus Simões
8%

Alexandre Kalil
7%

Alexandre Silveira
6%

Aécio Neves
5%

Tadeu Leite
4%

Benoni Mendes
3%

Nikolas Ferreira
3%

Gabriel Azevedo
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo leads the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race in recent Genial/Quaest and AtlasIntel surveys with 28–37% first-round support, fueled by consolidated conservative and evangelical backing plus low rejection rates that position him ahead in simulated runoffs against rivals. Rodrigo Pacheco trails at single-digit levels following his party switch and coalition uncertainties, limiting center-right consolidation ahead of July conventions. Fragmented support among Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and others reflects voter desire for change without a unified alternative, while high undecided shares and the October 4 first-round date introduce volatility that traders have priced into current probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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