Skip to main content
icon for Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés

Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés

icon for Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés

Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés

PL 71%

PSD 5.7%

UNIÃO 3.7%

PT 2.9%

Polymarket

$253,953 Vol.

PL 71%

PSD 5.7%

UNIÃO 3.7%

PT 2.9%

Polymarket

$253,953 Vol.

icon for PL

PL

$242,655 Vol.

77%

icon for PSD

PSD

$1,046 Vol.

6%

icon for UNIÃO

UNIÃO

$958 Vol.

4%

icon for PT

PT

$1,040 Vol.

3%

icon for PODEMOS

PODEMOS

$1,156 Vol.

2%

icon for REPUBLICANOS

REPUBLICANOS

$1,080 Vol.

1%

icon for MDB

MDB

$1,012 Vol.

1%

icon for PSB

PSB

$1,071 Vol.

1%

icon for NOVO

NOVO

$1,134 Vol.

1%

icon for PSDB

PSDB

$1,023 Vol.

<1%

icon for PP

PP

$935 Vol.

<1%

icon for PDT

PDT

$843 Vol.

<1%

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus assigns the Liberal Party (PL) a dominant 78.5 percent probability of securing the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, reflecting its strong national organization and leading or competitive candidates across multiple states. Recent party switches have expanded PL’s congressional bloc ahead of the one-third renewal of the 81-seat chamber, while the April candidate deadline locked in prominent right-leaning contenders backed by its structure. Other parties such as PSD, UNIÃO, PODEMOS, and PT show far lower implied probabilities because of weaker statewide consolidation and greater fragmentation in key races. The market reflects these structural dynamics in a multi-party contest where no challenger has demonstrated comparable momentum.

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.

Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$253,953
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus assigns the Liberal Party (PL) a dominant 78.5 percent probability of securing the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, reflecting its strong national organization and leading or competitive candidates across multiple states. Recent party switches have expanded PL’s congressional bloc ahead of the one-third renewal of the 81-seat chamber, while the April candidate deadline locked in prominent right-leaning contenders backed by its structure. Other parties such as PSD, UNIÃO, PODEMOS, and PT show far lower implied probabilities because of weaker statewide consolidation and greater fragmentation in key races. The market reflects these structural dynamics in a multi-party contest where no challenger has demonstrated comparable momentum.

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.

Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$253,953
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « PL » à 78%, suivi de « PSD » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 78¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés » a généré $254K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 11, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés » est « PL » à 78%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « PSD » à 6%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochaine élection sénatoriale au Brésil : le plus grand nombre de sièges gagnés » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.