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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Prochaine élection présidentielle française

icon for Prochaine élection présidentielle française
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Prochaine élection présidentielle française

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$72,959,838 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$72,959,838 Vol.

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$898,322 Vol.

23%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$707,900 Vol.

20%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$558,371 Vol.

11%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$527,815 Vol.

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,208,212 Vol.

5%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,158,812 Vol.

5%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,022,979 Vol.

5%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,243,320 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,368,457 Vol.

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$842,989 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,306,565 Vol.

2%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$1,482,638 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$901,503 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$741,770 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,376,541 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,271,076 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$2,098,174 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$2,637,927 Vol.

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$755,525 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,732,504 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,197,094 Vol.

1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$3,590,395 Vol.

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,849,241 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,567,403 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,132,887 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,167,086 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,070,894 Vol.

1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,835,051 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,587,885 Vol.

1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,366,259 Vol.

1%

icon for Titre d'élément du groupe: Carole Delga

Titre d'élément du groupe: Carole Delga

$2,709,264 Vol.

1%

icon for Titre du groupe : Manuel Bompard

Titre du groupe : Manuel Bompard

$3,008,687 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$3,298,011 Vol.

1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$2,532,678 Vol.

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,407,889 Vol.

1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$3,798,029 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election shows Jordan Bardella maintaining a clear first-round lead for the National Rally while Édouard Philippe emerges as his strongest potential runoff challenger following the former prime minister’s strong municipal election performance and reelection as mayor of Le Havre. Traders price the contest tightly between the two because hypothetical head-to-head surveys place Philippe narrowly ahead or within the margin of error, reflecting uncertainty over whether a broad centrist or center-right coalition can consolidate against the far-right candidate. Marine Le Pen’s ongoing ineligibility appeal, scheduled for July, adds another variable that could reshape the field. With more than eleven months remaining, shifts in voter coalitions, primary outcomes on the center-right and left, or late developments in economic conditions and immigration debates could quickly widen or close the gap between the leading contenders.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$72,959,838
Date de fin
30 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election shows Jordan Bardella maintaining a clear first-round lead for the National Rally while Édouard Philippe emerges as his strongest potential runoff challenger following the former prime minister’s strong municipal election performance and reelection as mayor of Le Havre. Traders price the contest tightly between the two because hypothetical head-to-head surveys place Philippe narrowly ahead or within the margin of error, reflecting uncertainty over whether a broad centrist or center-right coalition can consolidate against the far-right candidate. Marine Le Pen’s ongoing ineligibility appeal, scheduled for July, adds another variable that could reshape the field. With more than eleven months remaining, shifts in voter coalitions, primary outcomes on the center-right and left, or late developments in economic conditions and immigration debates could quickly widen or close the gap between the leading contenders.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$72,959,838
Date de fin
30 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Prochaine élection présidentielle française » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 36 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jordan Bardella » à 23%, suivi de « Édouard Philippe » à 20%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 23¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 23% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochaine élection présidentielle française » a généré $73 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochaine élection présidentielle française », parcourez les 36 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochaine élection présidentielle française » est « Jordan Bardella » à 23%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 23% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Édouard Philippe » à 20%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochaine élection présidentielle française » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.