Recent polling from multiple firms shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of 32-34 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, giving Magdalena Andersson the strongest path to forming a government as the largest party in the projected Red-Green bloc. This positioning stems from voter dissatisfaction with the Tidö coalition’s handling of immigration enforcement and economic pressures under incumbent Ulf Kristersson, whose own party trails at 17-19 percent. Kristersson’s April proposal to expand the four-party alliance with greater Sweden Democrats influence has not shifted seat forecasts enough to close the gap. In Sweden’s proportional system the leader of the dominant party in the winning bloc typically becomes prime minister, keeping alternative candidates at marginal levels.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourProchain Premier ministre de Suède
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.3%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,954,322 Vol.
$1,954,322 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
69%

Ulf Kristersson
29%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.3%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,954,322 Vol.
$1,954,322 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
69%

Ulf Kristersson
29%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from multiple firms shows the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of 32-34 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, giving Magdalena Andersson the strongest path to forming a government as the largest party in the projected Red-Green bloc. This positioning stems from voter dissatisfaction with the Tidö coalition’s handling of immigration enforcement and economic pressures under incumbent Ulf Kristersson, whose own party trails at 17-19 percent. Kristersson’s April proposal to expand the four-party alliance with greater Sweden Democrats influence has not shifted seat forecasts enough to close the gap. In Sweden’s proportional system the leader of the dominant party in the winning bloc typically becomes prime minister, keeping alternative candidates at marginal levels.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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