Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, centered on Tulsa, remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created by former Representative Kevin Hern’s Senate bid. Republican nominee Mark Tedford advanced from a crowded June primary and secured the nomination after the August runoff was canceled, facing only Democratic candidate John Croisant in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data favoring the challenger. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, though a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOK-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OK-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$24,922 Vol.
$24,922 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
91%
Parti démocrate
9%
$24,922 Vol.
$24,922 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$13,068 Vol.
91%
Parti démocrate
$11,854 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, centered on Tulsa, remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created by former Representative Kevin Hern’s Senate bid. Republican nominee Mark Tedford advanced from a crowded June primary and secured the nomination after the August runoff was canceled, facing only Democratic candidate John Croisant in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data favoring the challenger. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, though a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$24,922Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, centered on Tulsa, remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created by former Representative Kevin Hern’s Senate bid. Republican nominee Mark Tedford advanced from a crowded June primary and secured the nomination after the August runoff was canceled, facing only Democratic candidate John Croisant in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data favoring the challenger. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, though a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,922Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, centered on Tulsa, remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created by former Representative Kevin Hern’s Senate bid. Republican nominee Mark Tedford advanced from a crowded June primary and secured the nomination after the August runoff was canceled, facing only Democratic candidate John Croisant in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data favoring the challenger. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican probability aligns with this structural advantage, though a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still shift outcomes in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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