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icon for Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne

Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne

icon for Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne

Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne

Keiko Fujimori 100.0%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Vladimir Cerrón <1%

Fiorella Molinelli <1%

Polymarket

$2,561,354 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 100.0%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Vladimir Cerrón <1%

Fiorella Molinelli <1%

Polymarket

$2,561,354 Vol.

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$386,271 Vol.

Non

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$23,181 Vol.

Non

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$20,542 Vol.

Non

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$39,378 Vol.

Non

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$26,878 Vol.

Non

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$219,739 Vol.

Non

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$945,470 Vol.

Oui

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$19,821 Vol.

Non

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$24,448 Vol.

Non

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$19,372 Vol.

Non

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$27,488 Vol.

Non

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$41,515 Vol.

Non

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$16,997 Vol.

Non

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$23,764 Vol.

Non

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$13,835 Vol.

Non

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$195,412 Vol.

Non

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$17,108 Vol.

Non

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$159,265 Vol.

Non

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$106,007 Vol.

Non

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$10,668 Vol.

Non

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$8,790 Vol.

Non

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$204,210 Vol.

Non

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$11,193 Vol.

Non

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori secured a decisive lead in Peru’s April 2026 first-round presidential vote, finishing well ahead of Roberto Sánchez and Rafael López Aliaga according to near-complete official tallies. Her established congressional network, repeated national candidacies, and positioning on security and economic issues consolidated conservative support amid a crowded field of more than 30 contenders. With over 99 percent of ballots counted and no realistic path for challengers to close the gap, traders assign her virtually certain status as first-round winner ahead of the June 7 runoff. Only unresolved certification disputes or last-minute legal interventions in the remaining fraction of votes could alter the outcome.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$2,561,354
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori secured a decisive lead in Peru’s April 2026 first-round presidential vote, finishing well ahead of Roberto Sánchez and Rafael López Aliaga according to near-complete official tallies. Her established congressional network, repeated national candidacies, and positioning on security and economic issues consolidated conservative support amid a crowded field of more than 30 contenders. With over 99 percent of ballots counted and no realistic path for challengers to close the gap, traders assign her virtually certain status as first-round winner ahead of the June 7 runoff. Only unresolved certification disputes or last-minute legal interventions in the remaining fraction of votes could alter the outcome.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$2,561,354
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 23 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Keiko Fujimori » à 100%, suivi de « Rafael López Aliaga » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne » a généré $2.6 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 20, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne », parcourez les 23 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne » est « Keiko Fujimori » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Rafael López Aliaga » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.