Recent polling for the September 13, 2026, Swedish parliamentary election shows Kristdemokraterna (KD) support clustered between 5% and 7.5%, with Verian at 6.2%, Demoskop at 7.5%, and Novus at 6.1% in July-August surveys. This range underpins the leading 5-7% market outcome. As a junior Tidö coalition partner alongside Moderaterna and Liberalerna, KD has gained modestly from Moderaterna and Socialdemokraterna while benefiting from party leader Ebba Busch’s comparatively strong personal standing and the party’s centrist repositioning. Earlier SCB data from May placed KD at 4.5%, but subsequent readings indicate stabilization above the 4% threshold. Persistent opposition bloc leads and broader coalition weakness limit upside beyond 9%, while consistent mid-5% readings reduce the likelihood of sub-5% results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection parlementaire suédoise : KD Vote Share ?
Élection parlementaire suédoise : KD Vote Share ?
5-7 % 48%
7-9 % 28%
<5 % 18%
9%+ 10.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
<5 %
18%
5-7 %
48%
7-9 %
25%
9%+
10%
5-7 % 48%
7-9 % 28%
<5 % 18%
9%+ 10.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
<5 %
$1,086 Vol.
18%
5-7 %
$4,864 Vol.
48%
7-9 %
$512 Vol.
25%
9%+
$184 Vol.
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling for the September 13, 2026, Swedish parliamentary election shows Kristdemokraterna (KD) support clustered between 5% and 7.5%, with Verian at 6.2%, Demoskop at 7.5%, and Novus at 6.1% in July-August surveys. This range underpins the leading 5-7% market outcome. As a junior Tidö coalition partner alongside Moderaterna and Liberalerna, KD has gained modestly from Moderaterna and Socialdemokraterna while benefiting from party leader Ebba Busch’s comparatively strong personal standing and the party’s centrist repositioning. Earlier SCB data from May placed KD at 4.5%, but subsequent readings indicate stabilization above the 4% threshold. Persistent opposition bloc leads and broader coalition weakness limit upside beyond 9%, while consistent mid-5% readings reduce the likelihood of sub-5% results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$6,646Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling for the September 13, 2026, Swedish parliamentary election shows Kristdemokraterna (KD) support clustered between 5% and 7.5%, with Verian at 6.2%, Demoskop at 7.5%, and Novus at 6.1% in July-August surveys. This range underpins the leading 5-7% market outcome. As a junior Tidö coalition partner alongside Moderaterna and Liberalerna, KD has gained modestly from Moderaterna and Socialdemokraterna while benefiting from party leader Ebba Busch’s comparatively strong personal standing and the party’s centrist repositioning. Earlier SCB data from May placed KD at 4.5%, but subsequent readings indicate stabilization above the 4% threshold. Persistent opposition bloc leads and broader coalition weakness limit upside beyond 9%, while consistent mid-5% readings reduce the likelihood of sub-5% results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$6,646Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 13, 2026, Swedish parliamentary election shows Kristdemokraterna (KD) support clustered between 5% and 7.5%, with Verian at 6.2%, Demoskop at 7.5%, and Novus at 6.1% in July-August surveys. This range underpins the leading 5-7% market outcome. As a junior Tidö coalition partner alongside Moderaterna and Liberalerna, KD has gained modestly from Moderaterna and Socialdemokraterna while benefiting from party leader Ebba Busch’s comparatively strong personal standing and the party’s centrist repositioning. Earlier SCB data from May placed KD at 4.5%, but subsequent readings indicate stabilization above the 4% threshold. Persistent opposition bloc leads and broader coalition weakness limit upside beyond 9%, while consistent mid-5% readings reduce the likelihood of sub-5% results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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