President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AKP have advanced preparatory work on constitutional reform through a legal commission tasked with drafting changes, yet the party remains short of the 360 parliamentary votes needed to authorize a referendum. Opposition parties have shown no willingness to provide support, and recent withdrawals from drafting committees underscore the lack of cross-party consensus. Traders therefore assign high probability to no formal announcement occurring by the end of 2026, viewing ongoing internal reviews as exploratory steps rather than decisive action toward a popular vote on a new charter.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AKP have advanced preparatory work on constitutional reform through a legal commission tasked with drafting changes, yet the party remains short of the 360 parliamentary votes needed to authorize a referendum. Opposition parties have shown no willingness to provide support, and recent withdrawals from drafting committees underscore the lack of cross-party consensus. Traders therefore assign high probability to no formal announcement occurring by the end of 2026, viewing ongoing internal reviews as exploratory steps rather than decisive action toward a popular vote on a new charter.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$530Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AKP have advanced preparatory work on constitutional reform through a legal commission tasked with drafting changes, yet the party remains short of the 360 parliamentary votes needed to authorize a referendum. Opposition parties have shown no willingness to provide support, and recent withdrawals from drafting committees underscore the lack of cross-party consensus. Traders therefore assign high probability to no formal announcement occurring by the end of 2026, viewing ongoing internal reviews as exploratory steps rather than decisive action toward a popular vote on a new charter.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$530Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AKP have advanced preparatory work on constitutional reform through a legal commission tasked with drafting changes, yet the party remains short of the 360 parliamentary votes needed to authorize a referendum. Opposition parties have shown no willingness to provide support, and recent withdrawals from drafting committees underscore the lack of cross-party consensus. Traders therefore assign high probability to no formal announcement occurring by the end of 2026, viewing ongoing internal reviews as exploratory steps rather than decisive action toward a popular vote on a new charter.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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