Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced from Washington’s August 4, 2026, top-two primary with 53 percent of the vote against Republican Mary Silva’s 26 percent, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic lean in the northern Seattle suburbs. Trader consensus at 94 percent for Democrats aligns with the seat’s recent election margins and DelBene’s long tenure, which has included leadership roles in House Democratic fundraising. The general election on November 3 features a straightforward matchup in a district that favored Democrats by double digits in 2024. Shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, major local economic disruptions, or unforeseen candidate developments that alter turnout among suburban voters.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWA-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$30,791 Vol.
$30,791 Vol.
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
3%
$30,791 Vol.
$30,791 Vol.
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced from Washington’s August 4, 2026, top-two primary with 53 percent of the vote against Republican Mary Silva’s 26 percent, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic lean in the northern Seattle suburbs. Trader consensus at 94 percent for Democrats aligns with the seat’s recent election margins and DelBene’s long tenure, which has included leadership roles in House Democratic fundraising. The general election on November 3 features a straightforward matchup in a district that favored Democrats by double digits in 2024. Shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, major local economic disruptions, or unforeseen candidate developments that alter turnout among suburban voters.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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