**Democratic incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding lead in California's 27th congressional district for the November 3, 2026, general election, consistent with the current trader consensus.** The district's partisan lean, rated D+6 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index following recent redistricting, favors Democrats in a neutral or favorable national environment. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and benefits from substantial fundraising superiority over Republican challenger Jason Gibbs, a Santa Clarita city councilor. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns, the incumbent's visibility, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district spanning northern Los Angeles County areas like Santa Clarita and the Antelope Valley. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced both candidates after a close contest, but general election dynamics favor the Democrat. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant Republican national wave, major unforeseen events affecting Whitesides, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though the district's structural advantages make such outcomes less probable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants CA-27
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants CA-27
$17,531 Vol.
$17,531 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
6%
$17,531 Vol.
$17,531 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$5,615 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$11,916 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding lead in California's 27th congressional district for the November 3, 2026, general election, consistent with the current trader consensus.**
The district's partisan lean, rated D+6 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index following recent redistricting, favors Democrats in a neutral or favorable national environment. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and benefits from substantial fundraising superiority over Republican challenger Jason Gibbs, a Santa Clarita city councilor. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns, the incumbent's visibility, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district spanning northern Los Angeles County areas like Santa Clarita and the Antelope Valley.
The June 2026 top-two primary advanced both candidates after a close contest, but general election dynamics favor the Democrat. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant Republican national wave, major unforeseen events affecting Whitesides, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though the district's structural advantages make such outcomes less probable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$17,531Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding lead in California's 27th congressional district for the November 3, 2026, general election, consistent with the current trader consensus.**
The district's partisan lean, rated D+6 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index following recent redistricting, favors Democrats in a neutral or favorable national environment. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and benefits from substantial fundraising superiority over Republican challenger Jason Gibbs, a Santa Clarita city councilor. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns, the incumbent's visibility, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district spanning northern Los Angeles County areas like Santa Clarita and the Antelope Valley.
The June 2026 top-two primary advanced both candidates after a close contest, but general election dynamics favor the Democrat. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant Republican national wave, major unforeseen events affecting Whitesides, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though the district's structural advantages make such outcomes less probable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,531Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding lead in California's 27th congressional district for the November 3, 2026, general election, consistent with the current trader consensus.** The district's partisan lean, rated D+6 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index following recent redistricting, favors Democrats in a neutral or favorable national environment. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and benefits from substantial fundraising superiority over Republican challenger Jason Gibbs, a Santa Clarita city councilor. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns, the incumbent's visibility, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district spanning northern Los Angeles County areas like Santa Clarita and the Antelope Valley. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced both candidates after a close contest, but general election dynamics favor the Democrat. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a significant Republican national wave, major unforeseen events affecting Whitesides, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though the district's structural advantages make such outcomes less probable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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