Democratic incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding position in California's 27th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election after advancing from the June 2 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Jason Gibbs. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 strengthened the district's Democratic lean by several points, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Whitesides benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and the structural benefits of incumbency in a D+8 environment. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns in comparable California districts. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, significant late developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though such outcomes remain low-probability given established partisan margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants CA-27
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants CA-27
$19,150 Vol.
$19,150 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$19,150 Vol.
$19,150 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$5,637 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$13,513 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding position in California's 27th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election after advancing from the June 2 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Jason Gibbs. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 strengthened the district's Democratic lean by several points, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Whitesides benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and the structural benefits of incumbency in a D+8 environment. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns in comparable California districts. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, significant late developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though such outcomes remain low-probability given established partisan margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$19,150Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding position in California's 27th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election after advancing from the June 2 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Jason Gibbs. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 strengthened the district's Democratic lean by several points, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Whitesides benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and the structural benefits of incumbency in a D+8 environment. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns in comparable California districts. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, significant late developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though such outcomes remain low-probability given established partisan margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,150Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent George Whitesides holds a commanding position in California's 27th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election after advancing from the June 2 top-two primary alongside Republican challenger Jason Gibbs. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 strengthened the district's Democratic lean by several points, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Whitesides benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and the structural benefits of incumbency in a D+8 environment. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns in comparable California districts. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, significant late developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events, though such outcomes remain low-probability given established partisan margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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