US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent July escalation over Strait of Hormuz navigation and control. Indirect technical talks have occurred in venues including Doha and Switzerland, with mediators from Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar attempting to revive progress on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and maritime access. President Trump has asserted ongoing negotiations despite Iranian denials of direct engagement, while both sides exchanged conditions tied to port blockades and asset releases. High-level attendance previously featured Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. The December 31 window overlaps with the post-MOU negotiation period and potential mediation windows, though recent deadlock and mutual preconditions limit near-term direct rounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$165,674 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Jared Kushner
60%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
47%
Abbas Araghchi
44%
Steve Witkoff
43%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
48%
J.D. Vance
42%
Mohammed ben Abdulrahman Al Thani
35%
Masoud Pezeshkian
32%
Rafael Grossi
31%
Marco Rubio
38%
Ishaq Dar
29%
Kazem Gharibabadi
21%
Nick Stewart
20%
Badr ben Hamad Al Busaidi
17%
Donald Trump
12%
Esmail Qaani
8%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Ahmad Vahidi
5%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
$165,674 Vol.
Jared Kushner
$8,084 Vol.
60%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,231 Vol.
47%
Abbas Araghchi
$6,712 Vol.
44%
Steve Witkoff
$7,891 Vol.
43%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$10,113 Vol.
48%
J.D. Vance
$11,899 Vol.
42%
Mohammed ben Abdulrahman Al Thani
$11,007 Vol.
35%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$9,524 Vol.
32%
Rafael Grossi
$8,903 Vol.
31%
Marco Rubio
$10,766 Vol.
38%
Ishaq Dar
$7,098 Vol.
29%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$14,348 Vol.
21%
Nick Stewart
$2,508 Vol.
20%
Badr ben Hamad Al Busaidi
$11,760 Vol.
17%
Donald Trump
$81 Vol.
12%
Esmail Qaani
$9,883 Vol.
8%
Pete Hegseth
$2,478 Vol.
6%
Ahmad Vahidi
$2,198 Vol.
5%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,189 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent July escalation over Strait of Hormuz navigation and control. Indirect technical talks have occurred in venues including Doha and Switzerland, with mediators from Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar attempting to revive progress on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and maritime access. President Trump has asserted ongoing negotiations despite Iranian denials of direct engagement, while both sides exchanged conditions tied to port blockades and asset releases. High-level attendance previously featured Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. The December 31 window overlaps with the post-MOU negotiation period and potential mediation windows, though recent deadlock and mutual preconditions limit near-term direct rounds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$165,674Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent July escalation over Strait of Hormuz navigation and control. Indirect technical talks have occurred in venues including Doha and Switzerland, with mediators from Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar attempting to revive progress on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and maritime access. President Trump has asserted ongoing negotiations despite Iranian denials of direct engagement, while both sides exchanged conditions tied to port blockades and asset releases. High-level attendance previously featured Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. The December 31 window overlaps with the post-MOU negotiation period and potential mediation windows, though recent deadlock and mutual preconditions limit near-term direct rounds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$165,674Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent July escalation over Strait of Hormuz navigation and control. Indirect technical talks have occurred in venues including Doha and Switzerland, with mediators from Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar attempting to revive progress on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and maritime access. President Trump has asserted ongoing negotiations despite Iranian denials of direct engagement, while both sides exchanged conditions tied to port blockades and asset releases. High-level attendance previously featured Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. The December 31 window overlaps with the post-MOU negotiation period and potential mediation windows, though recent deadlock and mutual preconditions limit near-term direct rounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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