President Masoud Pezeshkian continues to hold office without any vacancy, resignation, or confirmed incapacity that would trigger Iran's constitutional requirement for a snap presidential election within fifty days, with the Guardian Council designating an interim leader. Trader consensus reflects this absence of a triggering event over the past thirty days, despite earlier unconfirmed reports of internal strains or health concerns that did not materialize. Pezeshkian's public schedule, including engagements with the new supreme leader, remains active, and the next regular four-year cycle falls well beyond June 30. A sudden leadership transition before the resolution date stands as the primary realistic scenario that could reopen the possibility of an early vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourL'Iran organisera-t-il une élection présidentielle d'ici le 30 juin ?
Oui
$698,390 Vol.
$698,390 Vol.
Oui
$698,390 Vol.
$698,390 Vol.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Masoud Pezeshkian continues to hold office without any vacancy, resignation, or confirmed incapacity that would trigger Iran's constitutional requirement for a snap presidential election within fifty days, with the Guardian Council designating an interim leader. Trader consensus reflects this absence of a triggering event over the past thirty days, despite earlier unconfirmed reports of internal strains or health concerns that did not materialize. Pezeshkian's public schedule, including engagements with the new supreme leader, remains active, and the next regular four-year cycle falls well beyond June 30. A sudden leadership transition before the resolution date stands as the primary realistic scenario that could reopen the possibility of an early vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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