Israel’s government has accelerated de facto control over parts of the West Bank through expanded settlement approvals, land registration shifts to civilian ministries, and infrastructure integration, yet formal legal annexation via Knesset legislation or cabinet sovereignty declarations remains stalled. U.S. opposition under President Trump to overt steps, combined with diplomatic risks involving Arab states and international bodies, has led Prime Minister Netanyahu to prioritize incremental administrative measures over explicit territorial claims. Military operations have extended Israeli operational reach in Gaza, but credible reporting shows no parallel sovereignty moves there. Trader consensus reflects these structural and diplomatic constraints, with low implied probabilities for official annexation by late 2026 absent major shifts in U.S. policy or regional dynamics. Upcoming settlement planning council decisions and cabinet reviews could influence incremental developments but are unlikely to trigger formal resolution triggers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWill Israel annex any territory by...?
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
$461,299 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
June 30, 2026
<1%
December 31, 2026
11%
$461,299 Vol.
June 30, 2026
$185,449 Vol.
<1%
December 31, 2026
$25,597 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s government has accelerated de facto control over parts of the West Bank through expanded settlement approvals, land registration shifts to civilian ministries, and infrastructure integration, yet formal legal annexation via Knesset legislation or cabinet sovereignty declarations remains stalled. U.S. opposition under President Trump to overt steps, combined with diplomatic risks involving Arab states and international bodies, has led Prime Minister Netanyahu to prioritize incremental administrative measures over explicit territorial claims. Military operations have extended Israeli operational reach in Gaza, but credible reporting shows no parallel sovereignty moves there. Trader consensus reflects these structural and diplomatic constraints, with low implied probabilities for official annexation by late 2026 absent major shifts in U.S. policy or regional dynamics. Upcoming settlement planning council decisions and cabinet reviews could influence incremental developments but are unlikely to trigger formal resolution triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 10, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$461,299Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
Apr 10, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s government has accelerated de facto control over parts of the West Bank through expanded settlement approvals, land registration shifts to civilian ministries, and infrastructure integration, yet formal legal annexation via Knesset legislation or cabinet sovereignty declarations remains stalled. U.S. opposition under President Trump to overt steps, combined with diplomatic risks involving Arab states and international bodies, has led Prime Minister Netanyahu to prioritize incremental administrative measures over explicit territorial claims. Military operations have extended Israeli operational reach in Gaza, but credible reporting shows no parallel sovereignty moves there. Trader consensus reflects these structural and diplomatic constraints, with low implied probabilities for official annexation by late 2026 absent major shifts in U.S. policy or regional dynamics. Upcoming settlement planning council decisions and cabinet reviews could influence incremental developments but are unlikely to trigger formal resolution triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$461,299Date de fin
31 déc. 2025Marché ouvert
Apr 10, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel’s government has accelerated de facto control over parts of the West Bank through expanded settlement approvals, land registration shifts to civilian ministries, and infrastructure integration, yet formal legal annexation via Knesset legislation or cabinet sovereignty declarations remains stalled. U.S. opposition under President Trump to overt steps, combined with diplomatic risks involving Arab states and international bodies, has led Prime Minister Netanyahu to prioritize incremental administrative measures over explicit territorial claims. Military operations have extended Israeli operational reach in Gaza, but credible reporting shows no parallel sovereignty moves there. Trader consensus reflects these structural and diplomatic constraints, with low implied probabilities for official annexation by late 2026 absent major shifts in U.S. policy or regional dynamics. Upcoming settlement planning council decisions and cabinet reviews could influence incremental developments but are unlikely to trigger formal resolution triggers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes