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icon for La mission lunaire Doge-1 sera-t-elle lancée avant 2027 ?

La mission lunaire Doge-1 sera-t-elle lancée avant 2027 ?

icon for La mission lunaire Doge-1 sera-t-elle lancée avant 2027 ?

La mission lunaire Doge-1 sera-t-elle lancée avant 2027 ?

Oui

7% chance
Polymarket

$800,697 Vol.

Oui

7% chance
Polymarket

$800,697 Vol.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.The overwhelming 92.9% market-implied probability against a DOGE-1 launch before 2027 reflects the CubeSat’s extensive history of postponements since its 2021 announcement, driven by repeated shifts in its rideshare slot on SpaceX Falcon 9 missions and technical integration challenges with Intuitive Machines’ lunar lander. Hardware issues were resolved by late 2025, positioning the 40 kg spacecraft at Cape Canaveral for a potential H2 2026 window, yet the crowded manifest and Elon Musk’s February 2026 comment favoring a 2027 timeline heighten perceived risk. While a September 2026 target exists, any slippage beyond December 31 would resolve the market to “no,” underscoring how secondary-payload dependencies and launch cadence uncertainties continue to shape trader consensus.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Volume
$800,697
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.The overwhelming 92.9% market-implied probability against a DOGE-1 launch before 2027 reflects the CubeSat’s extensive history of postponements since its 2021 announcement, driven by repeated shifts in its rideshare slot on SpaceX Falcon 9 missions and technical integration challenges with Intuitive Machines’ lunar lander. Hardware issues were resolved by late 2025, positioning the 40 kg spacecraft at Cape Canaveral for a potential H2 2026 window, yet the crowded manifest and Elon Musk’s February 2026 comment favoring a 2027 timeline heighten perceived risk. While a September 2026 target exists, any slippage beyond December 31 would resolve the market to “no,” underscoring how secondary-payload dependencies and launch cadence uncertainties continue to shape trader consensus.

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Volume
$800,697
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« La mission lunaire Doge-1 sera-t-elle lancée avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « La mission lunaire Doge-1 sera-t-elle lancée avant 2027 ? » à 7%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 7¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 7% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La mission lunaire Doge-1 sera-t-elle lancée avant 2027 ? » a généré $800.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 7, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La mission lunaire Doge-1 sera-t-elle lancée avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « La mission lunaire Doge-1 sera-t-elle lancée avant 2027 ? » est « La mission lunaire Doge-1 sera-t-elle lancée avant 2027 ? » à seulement 7%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La mission lunaire Doge-1 sera-t-elle lancée avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.