Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and Donald Trump's strong statewide showings, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory. The open-seat contest following Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek a second term has drawn a crowded Republican primary featuring Harriet Hageman, who has secured endorsements from Lummis, John Barrasso, and Trump, positioning her ahead of challengers Sam Mead and Jimmy Skovgard for the August 18 primary. Democrat James Byrd faces structural headwinds, including limited recent party success in the state since the 1970s and alignment with energy and rural policy priorities that favor Republicans. An upset in the GOP primary, an unforeseen scandal involving the nominee, or an atypical national midterm wave could narrow the gap, though current filing and polling trends point to limited disruption.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
94%
Démocrate
7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$6,720 Vol.
94%
Démocrate
$2,439 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and Donald Trump's strong statewide showings, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory. The open-seat contest following Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek a second term has drawn a crowded Republican primary featuring Harriet Hageman, who has secured endorsements from Lummis, John Barrasso, and Trump, positioning her ahead of challengers Sam Mead and Jimmy Skovgard for the August 18 primary. Democrat James Byrd faces structural headwinds, including limited recent party success in the state since the 1970s and alignment with energy and rural policy priorities that favor Republicans. An upset in the GOP primary, an unforeseen scandal involving the nominee, or an atypical national midterm wave could narrow the gap, though current filing and polling trends point to limited disruption.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$9,159Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and Donald Trump's strong statewide showings, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory. The open-seat contest following Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek a second term has drawn a crowded Republican primary featuring Harriet Hageman, who has secured endorsements from Lummis, John Barrasso, and Trump, positioning her ahead of challengers Sam Mead and Jimmy Skovgard for the August 18 primary. Democrat James Byrd faces structural headwinds, including limited recent party success in the state since the 1970s and alignment with energy and rural policy priorities that favor Republicans. An upset in the GOP primary, an unforeseen scandal involving the nominee, or an atypical national midterm wave could narrow the gap, though current filing and polling trends point to limited disruption.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$9,159Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and Donald Trump's strong statewide showings, underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican general election victory. The open-seat contest following Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek a second term has drawn a crowded Republican primary featuring Harriet Hageman, who has secured endorsements from Lummis, John Barrasso, and Trump, positioning her ahead of challengers Sam Mead and Jimmy Skovgard for the August 18 primary. Democrat James Byrd faces structural headwinds, including limited recent party success in the state since the 1970s and alignment with energy and rural policy priorities that favor Republicans. An upset in the GOP primary, an unforeseen scandal involving the nominee, or an atypical national midterm wave could narrow the gap, though current filing and polling trends point to limited disruption.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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