The 71% market-implied probability for Pause–Pause–Pause across the June, July, and September 2026 FOMC meetings reflects the Federal Reserve’s repeated holds at the 3.50–3.75% target range amid elevated inflation near 3.4% year-over-year and supply-driven price pressures in energy. July’s 9–3 vote, with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, introduced hawkish signals but did not alter the outcome, underscoring committee consensus for patience given solid GDP expansion, resilient labor markets, and productivity gains. Traders assign only a 0.6% chance to any cut in the sequence, consistent with the absence of disinflation sufficient to justify easing. The 27.5% weighting on “Other” largely prices the risk of a September hike, with upcoming CPI releases and the September 15–16 meeting serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 71%
Other 28%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$747,290 वॉल्यूम
$747,290 वॉल्यूम
16 सित, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
71%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Other
28%
Pause–Pause–Pause 71%
Other 28%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$747,290 वॉल्यूम
$747,290 वॉल्यूम
16 सित, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$291,406 वॉल्यूम
71%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$77,425 वॉल्यूम
1%
Other
$322,582 वॉल्यूम
28%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe 71% market-implied probability for Pause–Pause–Pause across the June, July, and September 2026 FOMC meetings reflects the Federal Reserve’s repeated holds at the 3.50–3.75% target range amid elevated inflation near 3.4% year-over-year and supply-driven price pressures in energy. July’s 9–3 vote, with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, introduced hawkish signals but did not alter the outcome, underscoring committee consensus for patience given solid GDP expansion, resilient labor markets, and productivity gains. Traders assign only a 0.6% chance to any cut in the sequence, consistent with the absence of disinflation sufficient to justify easing. The 27.5% weighting on “Other” largely prices the risk of a September hike, with upcoming CPI releases and the September 15–16 meeting serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$747,290समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe 71% market-implied probability for Pause–Pause–Pause across the June, July, and September 2026 FOMC meetings reflects the Federal Reserve’s repeated holds at the 3.50–3.75% target range amid elevated inflation near 3.4% year-over-year and supply-driven price pressures in energy. July’s 9–3 vote, with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, introduced hawkish signals but did not alter the outcome, underscoring committee consensus for patience given solid GDP expansion, resilient labor markets, and productivity gains. Traders assign only a 0.6% chance to any cut in the sequence, consistent with the absence of disinflation sufficient to justify easing. The 27.5% weighting on “Other” largely prices the risk of a September hike, with upcoming CPI releases and the September 15–16 meeting serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$747,290समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 71% market-implied probability for Pause–Pause–Pause across the June, July, and September 2026 FOMC meetings reflects the Federal Reserve’s repeated holds at the 3.50–3.75% target range amid elevated inflation near 3.4% year-over-year and supply-driven price pressures in energy. July’s 9–3 vote, with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, introduced hawkish signals but did not alter the outcome, underscoring committee consensus for patience given solid GDP expansion, resilient labor markets, and productivity gains. Traders assign only a 0.6% chance to any cut in the sequence, consistent with the absence of disinflation sufficient to justify easing. The 27.5% weighting on “Other” largely prices the risk of a September hike, with upcoming CPI releases and the September 15–16 meeting serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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