Recent U.S. inflation data, including the August 2026 CPI print showing 3.4% year-over-year headline and 0.4% monthly gains driven by energy prices, combined with a strong August jobs report, have shifted trader consensus toward at least one 25-basis-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Hawkish communications from Chair Warsh and revised forecasts from Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan reinforce expectations of tighter policy, though the dispersed Polymarket probabilities across hike-pause-hike, hike-pause-pause, and other sequences reflect uncertainty over whether subsequent meetings will deliver further tightening or pauses amid potential energy price moderation and questions about policy error risks. The September dot plot and upcoming October and December decisions remain key swing factors.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयावृद्धि–विराम–वृद्धि 26%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव 20%
तीन बार वृद्धि (हाइक–हाइक–हाइक) 17%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम 16%
$26,778 वॉल्यूम
$26,778 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
वृद्धि–विराम–वृद्धि
26%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव
20%
तीन बार वृद्धि (हाइक–हाइक–हाइक)
17%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम
16%
ठहराव–ठहराव–बढ़ोतरी
3%
विराम–विराम–विराम
10%
रुकना–बढ़ाना–बढ़ाना
4%
रोक–वृद्धि–रोक
2%
अन्य
7%
वृद्धि–विराम–वृद्धि 26%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव 20%
तीन बार वृद्धि (हाइक–हाइक–हाइक) 17%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम 16%
$26,778 वॉल्यूम
$26,778 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
वृद्धि–विराम–वृद्धि
$1,835 वॉल्यूम
26%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव
$1,765 वॉल्यूम
20%
तीन बार वृद्धि (हाइक–हाइक–हाइक)
$1,776 वॉल्यूम
17%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम
$1,769 वॉल्यूम
16%
ठहराव–ठहराव–बढ़ोतरी
$1,604 वॉल्यूम
3%
विराम–विराम–विराम
$14,765 वॉल्यूम
10%
रुकना–बढ़ाना–बढ़ाना
$1,300 वॉल्यूम
4%
रोक–वृद्धि–रोक
$1,572 वॉल्यूम
2%
अन्य
$391 वॉल्यूम
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent U.S. inflation data, including the August 2026 CPI print showing 3.4% year-over-year headline and 0.4% monthly gains driven by energy prices, combined with a strong August jobs report, have shifted trader consensus toward at least one 25-basis-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Hawkish communications from Chair Warsh and revised forecasts from Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan reinforce expectations of tighter policy, though the dispersed Polymarket probabilities across hike-pause-hike, hike-pause-pause, and other sequences reflect uncertainty over whether subsequent meetings will deliver further tightening or pauses amid potential energy price moderation and questions about policy error risks. The September dot plot and upcoming October and December decisions remain key swing factors.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,778समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent U.S. inflation data, including the August 2026 CPI print showing 3.4% year-over-year headline and 0.4% monthly gains driven by energy prices, combined with a strong August jobs report, have shifted trader consensus toward at least one 25-basis-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Hawkish communications from Chair Warsh and revised forecasts from Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan reinforce expectations of tighter policy, though the dispersed Polymarket probabilities across hike-pause-hike, hike-pause-pause, and other sequences reflect uncertainty over whether subsequent meetings will deliver further tightening or pauses amid potential energy price moderation and questions about policy error risks. The September dot plot and upcoming October and December decisions remain key swing factors.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$26,778समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. inflation data, including the August 2026 CPI print showing 3.4% year-over-year headline and 0.4% monthly gains driven by energy prices, combined with a strong August jobs report, have shifted trader consensus toward at least one 25-basis-point hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Hawkish communications from Chair Warsh and revised forecasts from Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan reinforce expectations of tighter policy, though the dispersed Polymarket probabilities across hike-pause-hike, hike-pause-pause, and other sequences reflect uncertainty over whether subsequent meetings will deliver further tightening or pauses amid potential energy price moderation and questions about policy error risks. The September dot plot and upcoming October and December decisions remain key swing factors.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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