Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 14 at 48.5% implied probability, driven by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI)'s latest forecast specifying a daytime maximum of 12°C amid alternating thunderstorms, moderate rain, and sun, with 90% precipitation chance limiting solar heating. This aligns with recent HARMONIE, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles showing a lingering cold front and northerly flow capping highs well below May climatological averages near 16–17°C, following recent observations of 11°C on May 11 and 13°C on May 12. While 13°C (24.5%) and 11°C (17%) reflect model spread uncertainty inherent to short-range forecasts, new hourly KNMI updates and observations through the afternoon landfall window could refine positioning before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
12°C 47%
13°C 23%
11°C 19%
14°C 10.5%
नया
$16,333 वॉल्यूम
नया
$16,333 वॉल्यूम
14 मई, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
19%
12°C
47%
13°C
23%
14°C
10%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 47%
13°C 23%
11°C 19%
14°C 10.5%
नया
$16,333 वॉल्यूम
नया
$16,333 वॉल्यूम
14 मई, 2026
7°C or below
$2,756 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8°C
$861 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$858 वॉल्यूम
1%
10°C
$1,377 वॉल्यूम
3%
11°C
$1,995 वॉल्यूम
19%
12°C
$2,368 वॉल्यूम
47%
13°C
$1,020 वॉल्यूम
23%
14°C
$1,878 वॉल्यूम
10%
15°C
$1,002 वॉल्यूम
1%
16°C
$1,488 वॉल्यूम
1%
17°C or higher
$739 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 14 at 48.5% implied probability, driven by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI)'s latest forecast specifying a daytime maximum of 12°C amid alternating thunderstorms, moderate rain, and sun, with 90% precipitation chance limiting solar heating. This aligns with recent HARMONIE, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles showing a lingering cold front and northerly flow capping highs well below May climatological averages near 16–17°C, following recent observations of 11°C on May 11 and 13°C on May 12. While 13°C (24.5%) and 11°C (17%) reflect model spread uncertainty inherent to short-range forecasts, new hourly KNMI updates and observations through the afternoon landfall window could refine positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,333समाप्ति तिथि
14 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 14 at 48.5% implied probability, driven by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI)'s latest forecast specifying a daytime maximum of 12°C amid alternating thunderstorms, moderate rain, and sun, with 90% precipitation chance limiting solar heating. This aligns with recent HARMONIE, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles showing a lingering cold front and northerly flow capping highs well below May climatological averages near 16–17°C, following recent observations of 11°C on May 11 and 13°C on May 12. While 13°C (24.5%) and 11°C (17%) reflect model spread uncertainty inherent to short-range forecasts, new hourly KNMI updates and observations through the afternoon landfall window could refine positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$16,333समाप्ति तिथि
14 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 14 at 48.5% implied probability, driven by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI)'s latest forecast specifying a daytime maximum of 12°C amid alternating thunderstorms, moderate rain, and sun, with 90% precipitation chance limiting solar heating. This aligns with recent HARMONIE, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles showing a lingering cold front and northerly flow capping highs well below May climatological averages near 16–17°C, following recent observations of 11°C on May 11 and 13°C on May 12. While 13°C (24.5%) and 11°C (17%) reflect model spread uncertainty inherent to short-range forecasts, new hourly KNMI updates and observations through the afternoon landfall window could refine positioning before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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