National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature of 90°F or higher on May 14 under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies, dry air, and highs in the low 90s, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability for 82°F or above. Yesterday's observed maximum of 84°F and today's mid-80s to low 90s align with this warming trend, bolstered by tight consensus across GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. Climatologically, May averages 87°F highs, and current patterns exceed this baseline. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected Gulf moisture influx boosting clouds or a weak disturbance altering steering winds, but stable ridge dominance and low rain chances through the weekend temper those odds. Updated model runs and evening NWS advisories could refine guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 मई को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14 मई को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
82°F या उससे अधिक 99.6%
80-81°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
नया
$85,743 वॉल्यूम
नया
$85,743 वॉल्यूम
14 मई, 2026
63°F या उससे कम
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F या उससे अधिक
100%
82°F या उससे अधिक 99.6%
80-81°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
नया
$85,743 वॉल्यूम
नया
$85,743 वॉल्यूम
14 मई, 2026
63°F या उससे कम
$8,142 वॉल्यूम
<1%
64-65°F
$3,324 वॉल्यूम
<1%
66-67°F
$6,514 वॉल्यूम
<1%
68-69°F
$5,391 वॉल्यूम
<1%
70-71°F
$6,164 वॉल्यूम
<1%
72-73°F
$5,631 वॉल्यूम
<1%
74-75°F
$5,532 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$6,859 वॉल्यूम
<1%
78-79°F
$4,811 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-81°F
$8,819 वॉल्यूम
<1%
82°F या उससे अधिक
$24,556 वॉल्यूम
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature of 90°F or higher on May 14 under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies, dry air, and highs in the low 90s, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability for 82°F or above. Yesterday's observed maximum of 84°F and today's mid-80s to low 90s align with this warming trend, bolstered by tight consensus across GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. Climatologically, May averages 87°F highs, and current patterns exceed this baseline. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected Gulf moisture influx boosting clouds or a weak disturbance altering steering winds, but stable ridge dominance and low rain chances through the weekend temper those odds. Updated model runs and evening NWS advisories could refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$85,743समाप्ति तिथि
14 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature of 90°F or higher on May 14 under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies, dry air, and highs in the low 90s, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability for 82°F or above. Yesterday's observed maximum of 84°F and today's mid-80s to low 90s align with this warming trend, bolstered by tight consensus across GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. Climatologically, May averages 87°F highs, and current patterns exceed this baseline. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected Gulf moisture influx boosting clouds or a weak disturbance altering steering winds, but stable ridge dominance and low rain chances through the weekend temper those odds. Updated model runs and evening NWS advisories could refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$85,743समाप्ति तिथि
14 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature of 90°F or higher on May 14 under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies, dry air, and highs in the low 90s, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability for 82°F or above. Yesterday's observed maximum of 84°F and today's mid-80s to low 90s align with this warming trend, bolstered by tight consensus across GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. Climatologically, May averages 87°F highs, and current patterns exceed this baseline. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected Gulf moisture influx boosting clouds or a weak disturbance altering steering winds, but stable ridge dominance and low rain chances through the weekend temper those odds. Updated model runs and evening NWS advisories could refine guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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