Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 मई को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 मई को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C या उससे कम <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 वॉल्यूम
$292,518 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C या अधिक
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C या उससे कम <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 वॉल्यूम
$292,518 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
19°C या उससे कम
$3,583 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$2,551 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$3,480 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$3,250 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$3,799 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$5,477 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$30,336 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$69,254 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$89,457 वॉल्यूम
100%
28°C
$45,405 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C या अधिक
$35,925 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$292,518समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$292,518समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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