The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 25°C high for Hong Kong on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory that day. This outcome aligns with real-time surface observations at the primary meteorological station, where standard instrumentation captured a peak air temperature of exactly 25°C amid typical early-May subtropical conditions. Historical climatology places May averages near 28°C, yet localized cloud cover and moderate onshore flow suppressed further warming. Traders incorporated the final post-observation data release, leaving negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented correction to the official record or use of an alternate station dataset could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain statistically rare given established quality controls.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,885 वॉल्यूम
$303,885 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,885 वॉल्यूम
$303,885 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$12,423 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$12,259 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$6,633 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$4,753 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$37,336 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$77,401 वॉल्यूम
100%
26°C
$43,033 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$39,653 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$25,277 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 25°C high for Hong Kong on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory that day. This outcome aligns with real-time surface observations at the primary meteorological station, where standard instrumentation captured a peak air temperature of exactly 25°C amid typical early-May subtropical conditions. Historical climatology places May averages near 28°C, yet localized cloud cover and moderate onshore flow suppressed further warming. Traders incorporated the final post-observation data release, leaving negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented correction to the official record or use of an alternate station dataset could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain statistically rare given established quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$303,885समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 25°C high for Hong Kong on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory that day. This outcome aligns with real-time surface observations at the primary meteorological station, where standard instrumentation captured a peak air temperature of exactly 25°C amid typical early-May subtropical conditions. Historical climatology places May averages near 28°C, yet localized cloud cover and moderate onshore flow suppressed further warming. Traders incorporated the final post-observation data release, leaving negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented correction to the official record or use of an alternate station dataset could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain statistically rare given established quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$303,885समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 25°C high for Hong Kong on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory that day. This outcome aligns with real-time surface observations at the primary meteorological station, where standard instrumentation captured a peak air temperature of exactly 25°C amid typical early-May subtropical conditions. Historical climatology places May averages near 28°C, yet localized cloud cover and moderate onshore flow suppressed further warming. Traders incorporated the final post-observation data release, leaving negligible room for revision. Only an unprecedented correction to the official record or use of an alternate station dataset could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain statistically rare given established quality controls.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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