Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models highlight a ridge of high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula as the key driver behind the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C for Madrid's May 19 high. Clear skies and light winds are expected to allow strong daytime heating, yet modest moisture advection and slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing keep the most likely outcomes narrowly separated. Historical May maxima average near 23°C, so any deviation will hinge on whether afternoon temperatures exceed typical values by 3–4°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS this evening, along with AEMET verification criteria at the Madrid-Barajas station, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 मई को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
19 मई को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
27°C 29%
26°C 27%
25°C 13%
28°C 9%
नया
नया
19 मई, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
13%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
9%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 29%
26°C 27%
25°C 13%
28°C 9%
नया
नया
19 मई, 2026
20°C or below
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$38 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$191 वॉल्यूम
2%
24°C
$147 वॉल्यूम
3%
25°C
$88 वॉल्यूम
13%
26°C
$98 वॉल्यूम
27%
27°C
$187 वॉल्यूम
29%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
9%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
30°C or higher
$29 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models highlight a ridge of high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula as the key driver behind the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C for Madrid's May 19 high. Clear skies and light winds are expected to allow strong daytime heating, yet modest moisture advection and slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing keep the most likely outcomes narrowly separated. Historical May maxima average near 23°C, so any deviation will hinge on whether afternoon temperatures exceed typical values by 3–4°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS this evening, along with AEMET verification criteria at the Madrid-Barajas station, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$798समाप्ति तिथि
19 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models highlight a ridge of high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula as the key driver behind the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C for Madrid's May 19 high. Clear skies and light winds are expected to allow strong daytime heating, yet modest moisture advection and slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing keep the most likely outcomes narrowly separated. Historical May maxima average near 23°C, so any deviation will hinge on whether afternoon temperatures exceed typical values by 3–4°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS this evening, along with AEMET verification criteria at the Madrid-Barajas station, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$798समाप्ति तिथि
19 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major global models highlight a ridge of high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula as the key driver behind the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C for Madrid's May 19 high. Clear skies and light winds are expected to allow strong daytime heating, yet modest moisture advection and slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing keep the most likely outcomes narrowly separated. Historical May maxima average near 23°C, so any deviation will hinge on whether afternoon temperatures exceed typical values by 3–4°C. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS this evening, along with AEMET verification criteria at the Madrid-Barajas station, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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