Recent PAGASA guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a peak of 33–34°C for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow with modest moisture and limited afternoon convection. This aligns with the market’s strongest consensus on 34°C, as historical May climatology at Ninoy Aquino International Airport shows mean daily maxima near 34–35°C, modulated by urban heat-island effects and variable sea-breeze suppression. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a brief 35°C spike if subsidence strengthens, against the possibility of slightly cooler readings if cloud cover increases, producing the close 38 %–31.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Updated PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational constraint before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 मई को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
34°C 38%
35°C 34%
33°C 19%
36°C 13.1%
नया
नया
18 मई, 2026
29°C या उससे कम
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
19%
34°C
38%
35°C
34%
36°C
13%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 34%
33°C 19%
36°C 13.1%
नया
नया
18 मई, 2026
29°C या उससे कम
$1,013 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$113 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$1,083 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C
$933 वॉल्यूम
4%
33°C
$740 वॉल्यूम
19%
34°C
$426 वॉल्यूम
38%
35°C
$276 वॉल्यूम
34%
36°C
$1,005 वॉल्यूम
13%
37°C
$343 वॉल्यूम
2%
38°C
$343 वॉल्यूम
<1%
39°C या उससे अधिक
$305 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a peak of 33–34°C for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow with modest moisture and limited afternoon convection. This aligns with the market’s strongest consensus on 34°C, as historical May climatology at Ninoy Aquino International Airport shows mean daily maxima near 34–35°C, modulated by urban heat-island effects and variable sea-breeze suppression. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a brief 35°C spike if subsidence strengthens, against the possibility of slightly cooler readings if cloud cover increases, producing the close 38 %–31.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Updated PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational constraint before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,581समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a peak of 33–34°C for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow with modest moisture and limited afternoon convection. This aligns with the market’s strongest consensus on 34°C, as historical May climatology at Ninoy Aquino International Airport shows mean daily maxima near 34–35°C, modulated by urban heat-island effects and variable sea-breeze suppression. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a brief 35°C spike if subsidence strengthens, against the possibility of slightly cooler readings if cloud cover increases, producing the close 38 %–31.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Updated PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational constraint before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$6,581समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent PAGASA guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a peak of 33–34°C for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow with modest moisture and limited afternoon convection. This aligns with the market’s strongest consensus on 34°C, as historical May climatology at Ninoy Aquino International Airport shows mean daily maxima near 34–35°C, modulated by urban heat-island effects and variable sea-breeze suppression. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a brief 35°C spike if subsidence strengthens, against the possibility of slightly cooler readings if cloud cover increases, producing the close 38 %–31.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Updated PAGASA briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational constraint before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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