Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a daytime maximum of 16 °C in Paris under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, following a period of cooler, unsettled conditions earlier in the week. This places the expected high squarely within the 16 °C resolution bucket, consistent with the 99.8 % market-implied odds. Historical May averages near 18 °C provide context for the current cooler anomaly driven by persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Only an unusually rapid clearing with stronger insolation or a late-model revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges could realistically push the official high to 17 °C or above, scenarios assigned minimal probability by the dominant trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$130,052 वॉल्यूम
$130,052 वॉल्यूम
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$130,052 वॉल्यूम
$130,052 वॉल्यूम
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a daytime maximum of 16 °C in Paris under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, following a period of cooler, unsettled conditions earlier in the week. This places the expected high squarely within the 16 °C resolution bucket, consistent with the 99.8 % market-implied odds. Historical May averages near 18 °C provide context for the current cooler anomaly driven by persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Only an unusually rapid clearing with stronger insolation or a late-model revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges could realistically push the official high to 17 °C or above, scenarios assigned minimal probability by the dominant trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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