Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on a 35 °C or higher maximum for Tel Aviv on May 17. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday allow rapid surface warming, pushing afternoon readings well above the May climatological average of 26–28 °C at Ben Gurion International Airport. Recent cooler maxima near 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this warming trend as synoptic conditions shift. Israel Meteorological Service model runs and global ensembles show consistent support for the heat surge, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations before market close. An unexpected increase in coastal cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could still temper the peak, though current guidance places those scenarios at low probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$73,303 वॉल्यूम
$73,303 वॉल्यूम
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$73,303 वॉल्यूम
$73,303 वॉल्यूम
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on a 35 °C or higher maximum for Tel Aviv on May 17. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday allow rapid surface warming, pushing afternoon readings well above the May climatological average of 26–28 °C at Ben Gurion International Airport. Recent cooler maxima near 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this warming trend as synoptic conditions shift. Israel Meteorological Service model runs and global ensembles show consistent support for the heat surge, with final resolution hinging on real-time observations before market close. An unexpected increase in coastal cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could still temper the peak, though current guidance places those scenarios at low probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न