Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models indicate a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto plain, bringing clear skies, light southerly flow, and intense afternoon solar heating that positions Tokyo for a daily maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 28–30°C, well above the mid-May climatological average of 23–25°C, driving the market’s 67% implied probability for the leading outcome. Traders are monitoring the final JMA model runs and surface observations ahead of tomorrow’s diurnal peak, with resolution based on official Tokyo station records. This setup reflects typical warm-sector patterns under similar synoptic conditions, though minor forecast adjustments remain possible.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C or higher 71%
27°C 25%
26°C 3.4%
25°C <1%
नया
$42,103 वॉल्यूम
नया
$42,103 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
25%
28°C or higher
71%
28°C or higher 71%
27°C 25%
26°C 3.4%
25°C <1%
नया
$42,103 वॉल्यूम
नया
$42,103 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
18°C or below
$3,106 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$1,432 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$1,081 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$1,264 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$1,918 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$2,398 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$15,840 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$3,937 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$4,198 वॉल्यूम
3%
27°C
$2,924 वॉल्यूम
25%
28°C or higher
$4,004 वॉल्यूम
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models indicate a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto plain, bringing clear skies, light southerly flow, and intense afternoon solar heating that positions Tokyo for a daily maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 28–30°C, well above the mid-May climatological average of 23–25°C, driving the market’s 67% implied probability for the leading outcome. Traders are monitoring the final JMA model runs and surface observations ahead of tomorrow’s diurnal peak, with resolution based on official Tokyo station records. This setup reflects typical warm-sector patterns under similar synoptic conditions, though minor forecast adjustments remain possible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$42,103समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models indicate a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto plain, bringing clear skies, light southerly flow, and intense afternoon solar heating that positions Tokyo for a daily maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 28–30°C, well above the mid-May climatological average of 23–25°C, driving the market’s 67% implied probability for the leading outcome. Traders are monitoring the final JMA model runs and surface observations ahead of tomorrow’s diurnal peak, with resolution based on official Tokyo station records. This setup reflects typical warm-sector patterns under similar synoptic conditions, though minor forecast adjustments remain possible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$42,103समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency forecast models indicate a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto plain, bringing clear skies, light southerly flow, and intense afternoon solar heating that positions Tokyo for a daily maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around 28–30°C, well above the mid-May climatological average of 23–25°C, driving the market’s 67% implied probability for the leading outcome. Traders are monitoring the final JMA model runs and surface observations ahead of tomorrow’s diurnal peak, with resolution based on official Tokyo station records. This setup reflects typical warm-sector patterns under similar synoptic conditions, though minor forecast adjustments remain possible.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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