Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (40.5%) and 19°C (31.0%) as Warsaw's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest IMGW hourly forecasts showing peak afternoon readings around 19.5°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This positioning stems from recent model runs, including IMGW updates, indicating southerly flow bringing mild air masses after cooler midweek lows near 13°C on May 12, with boundary layer warming limited by potential overcast skies or late-day sprinkles as seen in ensemble spreads from ECMWF analogs. Differentiating factors include precise timing of peak insolation versus convective showers—favoring 18°C if clouds thicken post-3 p.m., or 19°C with clearer skies—and slight model divergences on 850 hPa temperatures. New IMGW guidance expected May 13 could refine this uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 14?
18°C 42%
19°C 34%
17°C 19%
20°C 4.9%
नया
$10,716 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,716 वॉल्यूम
14 मई, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
19%
18°C
42%
19°C
34%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 42%
19°C 34%
17°C 19%
20°C 4.9%
नया
$10,716 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,716 वॉल्यूम
14 मई, 2026
13°C or below
$768 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$920 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$1,132 वॉल्यूम
1%
16°C
$1,059 वॉल्यूम
3%
17°C
$1,080 वॉल्यूम
19%
18°C
$1,287 वॉल्यूम
42%
19°C
$954 वॉल्यूम
34%
20°C
$1,037 वॉल्यूम
5%
21°C
$470 वॉल्यूम
1%
22°C
$1,379 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C or higher
$631 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (40.5%) and 19°C (31.0%) as Warsaw's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest IMGW hourly forecasts showing peak afternoon readings around 19.5°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This positioning stems from recent model runs, including IMGW updates, indicating southerly flow bringing mild air masses after cooler midweek lows near 13°C on May 12, with boundary layer warming limited by potential overcast skies or late-day sprinkles as seen in ensemble spreads from ECMWF analogs. Differentiating factors include precise timing of peak insolation versus convective showers—favoring 18°C if clouds thicken post-3 p.m., or 19°C with clearer skies—and slight model divergences on 850 hPa temperatures. New IMGW guidance expected May 13 could refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,716समाप्ति तिथि
14 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (40.5%) and 19°C (31.0%) as Warsaw's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest IMGW hourly forecasts showing peak afternoon readings around 19.5°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This positioning stems from recent model runs, including IMGW updates, indicating southerly flow bringing mild air masses after cooler midweek lows near 13°C on May 12, with boundary layer warming limited by potential overcast skies or late-day sprinkles as seen in ensemble spreads from ECMWF analogs. Differentiating factors include precise timing of peak insolation versus convective showers—favoring 18°C if clouds thicken post-3 p.m., or 19°C with clearer skies—and slight model divergences on 850 hPa temperatures. New IMGW guidance expected May 13 could refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$10,716समाप्ति तिथि
14 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (40.5%) and 19°C (31.0%) as Warsaw's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest IMGW hourly forecasts showing peak afternoon readings around 19.5°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This positioning stems from recent model runs, including IMGW updates, indicating southerly flow bringing mild air masses after cooler midweek lows near 13°C on May 12, with boundary layer warming limited by potential overcast skies or late-day sprinkles as seen in ensemble spreads from ECMWF analogs. Differentiating factors include precise timing of peak insolation versus convective showers—favoring 18°C if clouds thicken post-3 p.m., or 19°C with clearer skies—and slight model divergences on 850 hPa temperatures. New IMGW guidance expected May 13 could refine this uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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