Recent MetService New Zealand forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 13–14°C for Wellington on May 18 under stable post-frontal southerly flow and clear skies, aligning with early-autumn climatology where mean highs cluster between 12°C and 15°C. Numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress or elevate readings. Traders have priced 14°C as the narrow leader at 45 percent implied probability because the forecast envelope centers just above the 13°C threshold, while 15°C remains plausible if boundary-layer mixing strengthens slightly. Historical analogs from similar mid-May setups confirm that deviations beyond 12–16°C occur infrequently, leaving lower-probability outcomes like 16°C or below 13°C sensitive to any last-minute model revisions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 मई को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14°C 45%
15°C 37%
13°C 13%
16°C 7%
नया
नया
18 मई, 2026
8°C या उससे कम
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
13%
14°C
45%
15°C
37%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C या अधिक
<1%
14°C 45%
15°C 37%
13°C 13%
16°C 7%
नया
नया
18 मई, 2026
8°C या उससे कम
$576 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$383 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$241 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$347 वॉल्यूम
1%
12°C
$272 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$490 वॉल्यूम
13%
14°C
$555 वॉल्यूम
45%
15°C
$615 वॉल्यूम
37%
16°C
$391 वॉल्यूम
7%
17°C
$342 वॉल्यूम
2%
18°C या अधिक
$183 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent MetService New Zealand forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 13–14°C for Wellington on May 18 under stable post-frontal southerly flow and clear skies, aligning with early-autumn climatology where mean highs cluster between 12°C and 15°C. Numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress or elevate readings. Traders have priced 14°C as the narrow leader at 45 percent implied probability because the forecast envelope centers just above the 13°C threshold, while 15°C remains plausible if boundary-layer mixing strengthens slightly. Historical analogs from similar mid-May setups confirm that deviations beyond 12–16°C occur infrequently, leaving lower-probability outcomes like 16°C or below 13°C sensitive to any last-minute model revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,395समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent MetService New Zealand forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 13–14°C for Wellington on May 18 under stable post-frontal southerly flow and clear skies, aligning with early-autumn climatology where mean highs cluster between 12°C and 15°C. Numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress or elevate readings. Traders have priced 14°C as the narrow leader at 45 percent implied probability because the forecast envelope centers just above the 13°C threshold, while 15°C remains plausible if boundary-layer mixing strengthens slightly. Historical analogs from similar mid-May setups confirm that deviations beyond 12–16°C occur infrequently, leaving lower-probability outcomes like 16°C or below 13°C sensitive to any last-minute model revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$4,395समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent MetService New Zealand forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 13–14°C for Wellington on May 18 under stable post-frontal southerly flow and clear skies, aligning with early-autumn climatology where mean highs cluster between 12°C and 15°C. Numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress or elevate readings. Traders have priced 14°C as the narrow leader at 45 percent implied probability because the forecast envelope centers just above the 13°C threshold, while 15°C remains plausible if boundary-layer mixing strengthens slightly. Historical analogs from similar mid-May setups confirm that deviations beyond 12–16°C occur infrequently, leaving lower-probability outcomes like 16°C or below 13°C sensitive to any last-minute model revisions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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