President Trump's approval rating in the Silver Bulletin poll aggregator has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s to low 40s through early May 2026, reflecting trader consensus on limited upside potential for the year's peak amid persistent headwinds. Recent polls from Reuters/Ipsos, Marist, and others show no rebound above 40% since the Iran war's escalation, with 50% of Republicans blaming him for surging gas prices and independents' support dipping to historic lows. Economic concerns like inflation and recession fears compound the drag, while yesterday's White House statement dismissed Iran's ceasefire proposal as on "life support," signaling prolonged conflict risks. Upcoming factors include potential diplomatic breakthroughs, such as a Trump-Xi summit, congressional hearings on defense nominees, and macroeconomic data ahead of November midterms, which historically influence incumbency ratings through rally effects or further erosion.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
नया
31 दिस, 2026
↑ 44%
11%
↑ 45%
10%
↑ 46%
13%
↑ 47%
47%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
10%
↑ 50%
3%
$4,837 वॉल्यूम
↑ 44%
$2,703 वॉल्यूम
11%
↑ 45%
$137 वॉल्यूम
10%
↑ 46%
$721 वॉल्यूम
13%
↑ 47%
$0 वॉल्यूम
47%
↑ 48%
$392 वॉल्यूम
5%
↑ 49%
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
↑ 50%
$885 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating in the Silver Bulletin poll aggregator has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s to low 40s through early May 2026, reflecting trader consensus on limited upside potential for the year's peak amid persistent headwinds. Recent polls from Reuters/Ipsos, Marist, and others show no rebound above 40% since the Iran war's escalation, with 50% of Republicans blaming him for surging gas prices and independents' support dipping to historic lows. Economic concerns like inflation and recession fears compound the drag, while yesterday's White House statement dismissed Iran's ceasefire proposal as on "life support," signaling prolonged conflict risks. Upcoming factors include potential diplomatic breakthroughs, such as a Trump-Xi summit, congressional hearings on defense nominees, and macroeconomic data ahead of November midterms, which historically influence incumbency ratings through rally effects or further erosion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,837समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating in the Silver Bulletin poll aggregator has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s to low 40s through early May 2026, reflecting trader consensus on limited upside potential for the year's peak amid persistent headwinds. Recent polls from Reuters/Ipsos, Marist, and others show no rebound above 40% since the Iran war's escalation, with 50% of Republicans blaming him for surging gas prices and independents' support dipping to historic lows. Economic concerns like inflation and recession fears compound the drag, while yesterday's White House statement dismissed Iran's ceasefire proposal as on "life support," signaling prolonged conflict risks. Upcoming factors include potential diplomatic breakthroughs, such as a Trump-Xi summit, congressional hearings on defense nominees, and macroeconomic data ahead of November midterms, which historically influence incumbency ratings through rally effects or further erosion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
वॉल्यूम
$4,837समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating in the Silver Bulletin poll aggregator has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s to low 40s through early May 2026, reflecting trader consensus on limited upside potential for the year's peak amid persistent headwinds. Recent polls from Reuters/Ipsos, Marist, and others show no rebound above 40% since the Iran war's escalation, with 50% of Republicans blaming him for surging gas prices and independents' support dipping to historic lows. Economic concerns like inflation and recession fears compound the drag, while yesterday's White House statement dismissed Iran's ceasefire proposal as on "life support," signaling prolonged conflict risks. Upcoming factors include potential diplomatic breakthroughs, such as a Trump-Xi summit, congressional hearings on defense nominees, and macroeconomic data ahead of November midterms, which historically influence incumbency ratings through rally effects or further erosion.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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