Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models for New York City's LaGuardia Airport low temperature on May 14, with the 56-57°F outcome leading at 31% implied probability amid a tight cluster around mid-50s°F. Recent 12Z model runs highlight a weak cold front introducing northwest winds and partly cloudy skies overnight, enabling potential radiational cooling and dew point depressions greater than 10°F in drier boundary layer air, favoring lower outcomes like 54-55°F (26%) or 52-53°F (22%); however, persistent low-level clouds or residual mixing could preserve warmer lows near 56-57°F. Climatological May 14 normal is 54°F, but below-average spring patterns add downside risk. Watch 00Z model updates and NWS evening discussion for refined cloud cover timing and wind shear above 500 mb, as 48-hour predictability improves rapidly.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 मई को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
14 मई को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
56-57°F 35%
54-55°F 32%
52-53°F 28%
58-59°F 14.5%
नया
नया
14 मई, 2026
45°F या उससे नीचे
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
28%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
35%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F या अधिक
1%
56-57°F 35%
54-55°F 32%
52-53°F 28%
58-59°F 14.5%
नया
नया
14 मई, 2026
45°F या उससे नीचे
$127 वॉल्यूम
1%
46-47°F
$304 वॉल्यूम
1%
48-49°F
$197 वॉल्यूम
1%
50-51°F
$362 वॉल्यूम
3%
52-53°F
$187 वॉल्यूम
28%
54-55°F
$220 वॉल्यूम
39%
56-57°F
$156 वॉल्यूम
35%
58-59°F
$132 वॉल्यूम
14%
60-61°F
$134 वॉल्यूम
2%
62-63°F
$302 वॉल्यूम
<1%
64°F या अधिक
$810 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models for New York City's LaGuardia Airport low temperature on May 14, with the 56-57°F outcome leading at 31% implied probability amid a tight cluster around mid-50s°F. Recent 12Z model runs highlight a weak cold front introducing northwest winds and partly cloudy skies overnight, enabling potential radiational cooling and dew point depressions greater than 10°F in drier boundary layer air, favoring lower outcomes like 54-55°F (26%) or 52-53°F (22%); however, persistent low-level clouds or residual mixing could preserve warmer lows near 56-57°F. Climatological May 14 normal is 54°F, but below-average spring patterns add downside risk. Watch 00Z model updates and NWS evening discussion for refined cloud cover timing and wind shear above 500 mb, as 48-hour predictability improves rapidly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,928समाप्ति तिथि
14 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models for New York City's LaGuardia Airport low temperature on May 14, with the 56-57°F outcome leading at 31% implied probability amid a tight cluster around mid-50s°F. Recent 12Z model runs highlight a weak cold front introducing northwest winds and partly cloudy skies overnight, enabling potential radiational cooling and dew point depressions greater than 10°F in drier boundary layer air, favoring lower outcomes like 54-55°F (26%) or 52-53°F (22%); however, persistent low-level clouds or residual mixing could preserve warmer lows near 56-57°F. Climatological May 14 normal is 54°F, but below-average spring patterns add downside risk. Watch 00Z model updates and NWS evening discussion for refined cloud cover timing and wind shear above 500 mb, as 48-hour predictability improves rapidly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$2,928समाप्ति तिथि
14 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models for New York City's LaGuardia Airport low temperature on May 14, with the 56-57°F outcome leading at 31% implied probability amid a tight cluster around mid-50s°F. Recent 12Z model runs highlight a weak cold front introducing northwest winds and partly cloudy skies overnight, enabling potential radiational cooling and dew point depressions greater than 10°F in drier boundary layer air, favoring lower outcomes like 54-55°F (26%) or 52-53°F (22%); however, persistent low-level clouds or residual mixing could preserve warmer lows near 56-57°F. Climatological May 14 normal is 54°F, but below-average spring patterns add downside risk. Watch 00Z model updates and NWS evening discussion for refined cloud cover timing and wind shear above 500 mb, as 48-hour predictability improves rapidly.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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