Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.5% implied probability to a 10°C low for Paris on May 17, reflecting the latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF that show overnight temperatures stabilizing near this level under a dominant high-pressure ridge. These models incorporate current surface observations and upper-air data indicating minimal advection of cooler maritime air, consistent with May climatological normals of 9–11°C for the Paris basin. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings at standard stations, and while model spread remains narrow, an unexpected frontal passage or stronger radiative cooling could still shift the outcome toward 9°C or 11°C in the final hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
17 मई को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
10°C 96.5%
9°C 2.4%
11°C <1%
8°C <1%
$7,566 वॉल्यूम
$7,566 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
2°C या उससे कम
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
97%
11°C
<1%
12°C या अधिक
<1%
10°C 96.5%
9°C 2.4%
11°C <1%
8°C <1%
$7,566 वॉल्यूम
$7,566 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
2°C या उससे कम
$384 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3°C
$274 वॉल्यूम
<1%
4°C
$615 वॉल्यूम
<1%
5°C
$493 वॉल्यूम
<1%
6°C
$470 वॉल्यूम
<1%
7°C
$575 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8°C
$996 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$817 वॉल्यूम
2%
10°C
$894 वॉल्यूम
97%
11°C
$1,044 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C या अधिक
$1,004 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.5% implied probability to a 10°C low for Paris on May 17, reflecting the latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF that show overnight temperatures stabilizing near this level under a dominant high-pressure ridge. These models incorporate current surface observations and upper-air data indicating minimal advection of cooler maritime air, consistent with May climatological normals of 9–11°C for the Paris basin. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings at standard stations, and while model spread remains narrow, an unexpected frontal passage or stronger radiative cooling could still shift the outcome toward 9°C or 11°C in the final hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,566समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.5% implied probability to a 10°C low for Paris on May 17, reflecting the latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF that show overnight temperatures stabilizing near this level under a dominant high-pressure ridge. These models incorporate current surface observations and upper-air data indicating minimal advection of cooler maritime air, consistent with May climatological normals of 9–11°C for the Paris basin. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings at standard stations, and while model spread remains narrow, an unexpected frontal passage or stronger radiative cooling could still shift the outcome toward 9°C or 11°C in the final hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$7,566समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.5% implied probability to a 10°C low for Paris on May 17, reflecting the latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF that show overnight temperatures stabilizing near this level under a dominant high-pressure ridge. These models incorporate current surface observations and upper-air data indicating minimal advection of cooler maritime air, consistent with May climatological normals of 9–11°C for the Paris basin. Resolution hinges on official minimum readings at standard stations, and while model spread remains narrow, an unexpected frontal passage or stronger radiative cooling could still shift the outcome toward 9°C or 11°C in the final hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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