**Retail egg prices have stabilized near $2.15–$2.19 per dozen through mid-2026, aligning with the market’s leading $2.20–$2.30 bin (40.5% implied probability) and the adjacent $2.10–$2.20 range (30.0%).** USDA data show July 2026 retail prices at $2.189 per dozen, down sharply from 2025 peaks above $6, as layer flock recovery and fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) detections in early 2026 boosted production. The agency forecasts a 30.7% annual decline in egg prices for 2026, driven by expanded hatchery supply and sufficient pullets to offset ongoing but smaller flock losses. Wholesale benchmarks have fallen even faster, trading near $0.62 per dozen in mid-August, reflecting ample supply relative to demand. Traders appear to price in continued normalization absent major new HPAI outbreaks or feed-cost spikes, with the $2.30–$2.40 bin (24.5%) capturing residual upside risk from seasonal or localized disruptions. This distribution captures the post-recovery equilibrium in a market where real capital reflects the latest supply data rather than 2025 volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$2.20–$2.30 36.5%
$2.30–$2.40 25%
$2.10–$2.20 21.6%
$2.40–$2.50 12%
नया
नया
11 सित, 2026
<$1.80
1%
$1.80–$1.90
1%
$1.90–$2.00
5%
$2.00–$2.10
4%
$2.10–$2.20
22%
$2.20–$2.30
37%
$2.30–$2.40
25%
$2.40–$2.50
12%
$2.50–$2.60
2%
≥$2.60
1%
$2.20–$2.30 36.5%
$2.30–$2.40 25%
$2.10–$2.20 21.6%
$2.40–$2.50 12%
नया
नया
11 सित, 2026
<$1.80
$142 वॉल्यूम
1%
$1.80–$1.90
$183 वॉल्यूम
1%
$1.90–$2.00
$436 वॉल्यूम
5%
$2.00–$2.10
$259 वॉल्यूम
4%
$2.10–$2.20
$1,915 वॉल्यूम
22%
$2.20–$2.30
$1,987 वॉल्यूम
37%
$2.30–$2.40
$718 वॉल्यूम
25%
$2.40–$2.50
$200 वॉल्यूम
12%
$2.50–$2.60
$425 वॉल्यूम
2%
≥$2.60
$763 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.**Retail egg prices have stabilized near $2.15–$2.19 per dozen through mid-2026, aligning with the market’s leading $2.20–$2.30 bin (40.5% implied probability) and the adjacent $2.10–$2.20 range (30.0%).** USDA data show July 2026 retail prices at $2.189 per dozen, down sharply from 2025 peaks above $6, as layer flock recovery and fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) detections in early 2026 boosted production.
The agency forecasts a 30.7% annual decline in egg prices for 2026, driven by expanded hatchery supply and sufficient pullets to offset ongoing but smaller flock losses. Wholesale benchmarks have fallen even faster, trading near $0.62 per dozen in mid-August, reflecting ample supply relative to demand.
Traders appear to price in continued normalization absent major new HPAI outbreaks or feed-cost spikes, with the $2.30–$2.40 bin (24.5%) capturing residual upside risk from seasonal or localized disruptions. This distribution captures the post-recovery equilibrium in a market where real capital reflects the latest supply data rather than 2025 volatility.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,027समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.**Retail egg prices have stabilized near $2.15–$2.19 per dozen through mid-2026, aligning with the market’s leading $2.20–$2.30 bin (40.5% implied probability) and the adjacent $2.10–$2.20 range (30.0%).** USDA data show July 2026 retail prices at $2.189 per dozen, down sharply from 2025 peaks above $6, as layer flock recovery and fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) detections in early 2026 boosted production.
The agency forecasts a 30.7% annual decline in egg prices for 2026, driven by expanded hatchery supply and sufficient pullets to offset ongoing but smaller flock losses. Wholesale benchmarks have fallen even faster, trading near $0.62 per dozen in mid-August, reflecting ample supply relative to demand.
Traders appear to price in continued normalization absent major new HPAI outbreaks or feed-cost spikes, with the $2.30–$2.40 bin (24.5%) capturing residual upside risk from seasonal or localized disruptions. This distribution captures the post-recovery equilibrium in a market where real capital reflects the latest supply data rather than 2025 volatility.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$7,027समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Retail egg prices have stabilized near $2.15–$2.19 per dozen through mid-2026, aligning with the market’s leading $2.20–$2.30 bin (40.5% implied probability) and the adjacent $2.10–$2.20 range (30.0%).** USDA data show July 2026 retail prices at $2.189 per dozen, down sharply from 2025 peaks above $6, as layer flock recovery and fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) detections in early 2026 boosted production. The agency forecasts a 30.7% annual decline in egg prices for 2026, driven by expanded hatchery supply and sufficient pullets to offset ongoing but smaller flock losses. Wholesale benchmarks have fallen even faster, trading near $0.62 per dozen in mid-August, reflecting ample supply relative to demand. Traders appear to price in continued normalization absent major new HPAI outbreaks or feed-cost spikes, with the $2.30–$2.40 bin (24.5%) capturing residual upside risk from seasonal or localized disruptions. This distribution captures the post-recovery equilibrium in a market where real capital reflects the latest supply data rather than 2025 volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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