Persistent inflation pressures above the RBNZ’s 1–3% target, with Q2 2026 CPI at 4.1%, remain the dominant driver of trader expectations for an OCR increase at the September 2 Monetary Policy Statement. The central bank’s July hike to 2.50%—its first in three years—signaled further tightening is likely, with officials citing energy price effects from the Middle East conflict and risks from pricing behavior despite partial easing in global oil costs. Market-implied odds of a 25 basis point move align with overnight index swap pricing showing roughly 80% probability, reinforced by expectations that the economy will regain momentum in the September quarter while spare capacity narrows gradually. Key data releases through mid-August, including labor market figures and the inflation expectations survey, will shape the final assessment ahead of the decision.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासितंबर में रिज़र्व बैंक ऑफ़ न्यूज़ीलैंड का फ़ैसला?
सितंबर में रिज़र्व बैंक ऑफ़ न्यूज़ीलैंड का फ़ैसला?
वृद्धि 90%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 10%
कमी <1%
$22,556 वॉल्यूम
$22,556 वॉल्यूम
2 सित, 2026
वृद्धि
90%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
10%
कमी
<1%
वृद्धि 90%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 10%
कमी <1%
$22,556 वॉल्यूम
$22,556 वॉल्यूम
2 सित, 2026
वृद्धि
$7,566 वॉल्यूम
90%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$13,038 वॉल्यूम
10%
कमी
$1,952 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation pressures above the RBNZ’s 1–3% target, with Q2 2026 CPI at 4.1%, remain the dominant driver of trader expectations for an OCR increase at the September 2 Monetary Policy Statement. The central bank’s July hike to 2.50%—its first in three years—signaled further tightening is likely, with officials citing energy price effects from the Middle East conflict and risks from pricing behavior despite partial easing in global oil costs. Market-implied odds of a 25 basis point move align with overnight index swap pricing showing roughly 80% probability, reinforced by expectations that the economy will regain momentum in the September quarter while spare capacity narrows gradually. Key data releases through mid-August, including labor market figures and the inflation expectations survey, will shape the final assessment ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 10, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$22,556समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 10, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation pressures above the RBNZ’s 1–3% target, with Q2 2026 CPI at 4.1%, remain the dominant driver of trader expectations for an OCR increase at the September 2 Monetary Policy Statement. The central bank’s July hike to 2.50%—its first in three years—signaled further tightening is likely, with officials citing energy price effects from the Middle East conflict and risks from pricing behavior despite partial easing in global oil costs. Market-implied odds of a 25 basis point move align with overnight index swap pricing showing roughly 80% probability, reinforced by expectations that the economy will regain momentum in the September quarter while spare capacity narrows gradually. Key data releases through mid-August, including labor market figures and the inflation expectations survey, will shape the final assessment ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$22,556समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 10, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation pressures above the RBNZ’s 1–3% target, with Q2 2026 CPI at 4.1%, remain the dominant driver of trader expectations for an OCR increase at the September 2 Monetary Policy Statement. The central bank’s July hike to 2.50%—its first in three years—signaled further tightening is likely, with officials citing energy price effects from the Middle East conflict and risks from pricing behavior despite partial easing in global oil costs. Market-implied odds of a 25 basis point move align with overnight index swap pricing showing roughly 80% probability, reinforced by expectations that the economy will regain momentum in the September quarter while spare capacity narrows gradually. Key data releases through mid-August, including labor market figures and the inflation expectations survey, will shape the final assessment ahead of the decision.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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