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Politik·Florida

FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Florida

FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Yen Bailey 57%

Amanda Green 17%

Brice Barnes 9.4%

Nic Zateslo 6.8%

Polymarket

$50,631 Vol.

Yen Bailey 57%

Amanda Green 17%

Brice Barnes 9.4%

Nic Zateslo 6.8%

Polymarket

$50,631 Vol.

Yen Bailey

$19,517 Vol.

57%

Amanda Green

$11,477 Vol.

17%

Brice Barnes

$6,689 Vol.

9%

Nic Zateslo

$12,947 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Yen Bailey holds the strongest position in the August 18 Florida Democratic primary for the open FL-02 House seat, reflecting her 2024 general election experience and early ballot qualification through petition signatures. The four-candidate field remains closely contested due to limited polling, varying fundraising totals, and a recent debate that highlighted differences on healthcare, data centers, and federal policy without producing a clear breakout. Voters in this North Florida district face a compressed timeline before primary day, with no dominant frontrunner emerging from name recognition or endorsements alone. A strong performance in final voter outreach, turnout among key blocs, or late shifts in local media coverage could separate the leader from challengers Brice Barnes, Amanda Green, and Nic Zateslo ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,631
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 26, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Yen Bailey holds the strongest position in the August 18 Florida Democratic primary for the open FL-02 House seat, reflecting her 2024 general election experience and early ballot qualification through petition signatures. The four-candidate field remains closely contested due to limited polling, varying fundraising totals, and a recent debate that highlighted differences on healthcare, data centers, and federal policy without producing a clear breakout. Voters in this North Florida district face a compressed timeline before primary day, with no dominant frontrunner emerging from name recognition or endorsements alone. A strong performance in final voter outreach, turnout among key blocs, or late shifts in local media coverage could separate the leader from challengers Brice Barnes, Amanda Green, and Nic Zateslo ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,631
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 26, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Yen Bailey" di 57%, diikuti oleh "Amanda Green" di 17%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 57¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 57% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $50.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Yen Bailey" di 57%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 57% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Amanda Green" di 17%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.